Excessive Rainfall Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
821 AM EDT Fri Apr 4 2025
Day 3
Valid 12Z Sun Apr 06 2025 - 12Z Mon Apr 07 2025

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHEAST US ON SUNDAY|...

There should finally be enough of a shift in the upper flow pattern
such that moisture gets drawn northward across portions of Alabama
an Georgia by southerly low level flow ahead of an approaching
cold front and an upper level trough. Given the timing. There looks
to be enough instability and a shear profile that thunderstorms
should be able to produce locally heavy rainfall rates and maximum
rainfall amounts from 2 to 3+ inches over from southeast Alabama
into central/northern Georgia. As a result...rainfall rates may be
high enough to challenge current FFG in the area on the order of
2.5 inches per hour (although the 3+ inches per 3 hour FFG may be
be less likely to be met/exceeded).

Bann

Day 3 threat area: www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/99epoints.txt