Bluefield, West Virginia 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

573
FXUS61 KRNK 111720
AFDRNK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
120 PM EDT Fri Apr 11 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
A low pressure system over eastern Virginia will bring showers
and isolated thunderstorms to the area, before tracking
northeast and off the coast Saturday. Clouds will begin to thin
Saturday as high pressure builds in from the west. Sunday and
Monday will be dry and much warmer as we remain under the
influence of high pressure. A cold front will cross the area
Monday night, sending temperatures below normal midweek.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 120 PM EDT Friday...

Key messages:

1) Showers and isolated thunderstorms possible through this
evening...then partial clearing.

2) Lingering clouds and a few showers Saturday, otherwise
breezy and trending drier.


Full latitude long wave trough will close off into a
closed Low near the Delmarva Peninsula by Saturday morning
before drifting northeast and away from the area. Strongest UVM
is progged to move north along the I-95 corridor where rain will
be most prolific. Farther west across our forecast area, will
be dealing with cold air aloft and instability showers, the
convective allowing models supporting scattered to numerous
activity through about 10PM this evening along with some
isolated thunderstorms. As we progress through the evening, the
northeast winds will gradually back to the northwest introducing
downslope drying for the east side of the Appalachians, clouds
thinning with time. In the west, light upslope precipitation
and cloud cover will linger.

For Saturday, expecting additional clearing. Weak instability
during the afternoon may lead to a few showers, but the overall
trend will be for increasing sunshine. Winds will be out of the
northwest and gusty at times, especially over the ridges.

High temperatures are expected to remain 5-10 degF cooler than
normal for Saturday...but close to the seasonal norm for the
overnight lows.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
As of 140 AM EDT Friday...

Key Messages:

1) Confidence is high for dry weather and warming temperatures
for Sunday and Monday.

2) Showers Monday night.

Drier air should bring an end to the lingering moisture by
Saturday night. While temperatures will remain well below normal
for Saturday and into Sunday morning, they will moderate by
Sunday afternoon as high pressure arrives. However, a weak warm
front may provide a low chance of showers across parts of Bath
and Greenbrier counties during early Sunday night.

Monday appears notably warmer as an upper level ridge builds
overhead and a southwest breeze develops. The increased sunshine and
warm air advection should push temperatures into the 70s for a
majority of locations. The southwest breeze is in response to an
approaching cold front over the Ohio River Valley. This frontal
boundary may bring scattered showers towards the Appalachian
Mountains by Monday evening, and there may be enough instability for
an isolated thunderstorm across southeast West Virginia before the
atmosphere stabilizes during Monday night. Because the cold front
does not contain a lot of moisture, it appears that the rain may
stay mostly west of the Blue Ridge.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 140 AM EDT Friday...

Key Messages:

1) Confidence is moderate for cooler weather and a gusty northwest
wind during Tuesday and Wednesday.

2) Drier conditions should return on Wednesday, but another cold
front could approach by late Thursday.

By Tuesday, a cold front should sweep across the Mid Atlantic.
Colder and drier air should follow in the wake of this frontal
boundary, which will allow a gusty northwest wind to shove
temperatures lower on Tuesday night. Lingering upslope moisture
across southeast West Virginia should fade by early Wednesday
morning. With high pressure returning on Wednesday, drier conditions
should return. Temperature should moderate back to near normal
values by Thursday as the flow turns to the southwest to increase
warm air advection. Another cold front will approach from the west
to provide a chance of showers towards late Thursday.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 120 PM EDT Friday...

Conditions ranged from IFR to VFR as showers move across the
area. Variable cigs and vsbys will be common through tonight.
Convective allowing models also indicate the potential for
isolated thunderstorms until sunset. Northeast winds this
afternoon and evening will gradually back around to the
northwest for tonight...and remain northwesterly for Saturday.
Gradual clearing is expected Saturday with gusty northwest
winds.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...

Expect VFR Sunday into Monday. May see some sub-VFR cigs with a
few showers Monday night into Tuesday but low confidence. Gusty
northwest winds expected Tuesday and Wednesday.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...None.
NC...None.
WV...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...PM
NEAR TERM...PM
SHORT TERM...PW
LONG TERM...PW
AVIATION...PM