Lubbock, Texas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

250
FXUS64 KLUB 221116
AFDLUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
516 AM CST Sat Feb 22 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

 - Could see some sprinkles later today but nothing measurable.

 - Very mild and dry weather next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 200 AM CST Sat Feb 22 2025

Today will be the start of a warming trend through next week with
highs in the 50s. An upper level shortwave trough currently
situated over Arizona will swing eastward through the day. The
base of this system will track south of the region by this evening
giving lift over our region, bringing mid to high level clouds.
Some sprinkles are possible with this system later today but
nothing measurable as low level moisture will be lacking. Could
see temperatures a couple degrees cooler for the southern South
Plains and southern Rolling Plains with the expected cloud cover.
Light southerly winds today will shift to the west as the upper
shortwave induces a lee low over the New Mexico/Colorado border.
Clouds are expected to clear tonight allowing low temperatures to
cool to at or just below freezing.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Friday)
Issued at 200 AM CST Sat Feb 22 2025

Challenges in the extended are few and far between as we maintain
low amplitude westerly flow for the majority of the week ahead.
Aside from a weak cold front Monday night followed by a more
definitive front for Tuesday night, impactful weather is not in the
offing anytime soon. The primary change with this forecast package
involved raising westerly winds into the 15-20 mph realm on Monday
ahead of the first front which bodes well for highs near 80 for
many areas. Along with the state of fuels, this dry/warm/breezy
combo looks decent for an elevated wildfire threat before high
temps scale lower, especially come Wednesday, once upper ridging
over the western CONUS amplifies and directs a shot of modified cP
air to the southern plains. Ensembles still show a fair degree of
maxT spread for Wed and Thu, yet there is good agreement in 20-25
mph NNE winds by Wednesday which is enough to justify shaving
NBM`s maxT into the low/mid 60s for most areas.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 513 AM CST Sat Feb 22 2025

VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF period. Winds will be
light and from the south before shifting to the west to southwest
later tonight. Virga showers and gusty winds are possible later
this afternoon.

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...10
LONG TERM....93
AVIATION...10