Grand Prairie, Texas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

896
FXUS64 KFWD 271751
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1251 PM CDT Fri Jun 27 2025

...New Short Term, Long Term, Aviation...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Isolated showers and thunderstorms (15-25% chance) continue to
  be possible near the Red River and in eastern Central Texas this
  afternoon.

- Seasonably hot conditions will continue through the weekend into
  next week with highs in the 90s. Afternoon heat indices will
  rise to near 103 each afternoon.

- There is a chance of storms, mainly across North Texas, Monday
  through Wednesday of next week.


&&

.SHORT TERM... /NEW/
/Today through Saturday Afternoon/

While the early morning showers and storms have dissipated before
making much distance across our Red River counties, a lingering
weak outflow boundary remains draped near our western/northwestern
zones. Temperature and dewpoint depressions ahead and behind this
boundary are rather unimpressive, but the wind fields continue to
show a bit of enhanced surface convergence. This boundary will
become a focus for additional convective development this
afternoon when diurnal heating maximizes. Additionally, we`re
already starting to see some vertical development within the Cu
field in eastern Central Texas. I expect this development to
continue on and off the rest of this afternoon, and have expanded
low 15-20% PoPs further across portions of Central Texas through
this evening. A lack of focused ascent will keep coverage
scattered and spotty, so not everyone will receive rain. Meager
deep layer shear and weak lapse rates will keep any storm sub-
severe. However, we cannot rule out a couple stronger storms
capable of gusty winds, heavy rain, and lightning. If you are
planning any outdoor activities today, make sure to stay weather
aware, particularly if on any lakes or other bodies of water.
Otherwise, it`ll be another hot and humid day with afternoon highs
in the low-mid 90s and peak heat indices up to around 102.

Any lingering activity will wane with the loss of daytime
heating, leaving in their wake a warm and humid night. Tomorrow
morning`s low temperatures will only bottom out in the 70s,
peaking into the low-mid 90s over the afternoon. Heat indices
will once again rise up to around 103. Another round of diurnally-
driven spotty showers and storms are possible in portions of
Central Texas, but like today, any storm will remain sub-severe
with gusty winds, heavy rain, and lightning the main hazards.

Prater

&&

.LONG TERM... /NEW/
/Saturday Night Onward/

High pressure will become re-established across the Southern
Plains as we head through the weekend, stunting rain chances
across the majority of North and Central Texas. Low chances for
sea breeze showers and storms will remain confined to southern
Central Texas, but most, if not all of the region will remain
rain-free. Low rain chances will return this upcoming week as an
upper level shortwave digs south and sends a cold front across the
Red River. This front is expected to stall in North Texas,
becoming a zone of increased convective development over the
first half of the new work week. Severe weather is not anticipated
with this activity due to the lack of meaningful deep layer
shear, though gusty winds, brief heavy rain, and lightning will
all impact outdoor activities each day through Wednesday. Heading
towards July 4th, a de-amplifying upper low will move onshore the
western CONUS, shifting a building ridge overtop the region. This
will effectively stunt rain chances once again through the end of
the week. Aside from the rain chances, it will remain hot and
humid, with high temperatures mainly in the 90s and heat index
values up to around 103 each afternoon.

Prater

&&

.AVIATION... /NEW/
/18Z TAFs/

VFR and occasionally gusty southerly winds will prevail at all
TAF sites through the rest of today. Isolated to scattered showers
and storms will be possible mainly to the north and west of the
D10 airports, and across portions of Central Texas this afternoon.
Chances of direct terminal impacts at the TAF sites are low due
to the spotty storm mode, and have opted to not include any
mention of thunder in the TAF at this time. This potential will be
carefully watched in the coming hours.

A deck of MVFR stratus may make a run for ACT tomorrow morning,
but will remain south of D10. Have introduced a TEMPO between
11-15Z for ACT to account for this potential. Any stratus will
erode and lift back to VFR over the morning and afternoon hours.

Prater

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    93  78  95  78  97 /  10   5   0   0   0
Waco                93  75  94  75  94 /   5   0   5   0   0
Paris               92  74  91  74  92 /  20  10  20   0   5
Denton              93  76  95  76  97 /  10   5   5   0   0
McKinney            93  76  95  76  96 /  20   5   5   0   0
Dallas              93  78  96  78  97 /  10   5   0   0   0
Terrell             94  75  94  75  94 /  20   0   5   0   0
Corsicana           93  76  94  75  94 /  20   0   5   0   0
Temple              94  73  95  73  95 /  10   0   5   0   5
Mineral Wells       93  75  97  75  98 /  10   5   5   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$