El Paso, Texas 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
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NWS Forecast for 5 Miles SW Fort Bliss TX
National Weather Service Forecast for:
5 Miles SW Fort Bliss TX
Issued by: National Weather Service El Paso, TX |
Updated: 1:16 am MDT Jul 9, 2025 |
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Today
 Sunny then Isolated T-storms
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Tonight
 Isolated T-storms then Mostly Clear
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Thursday
 Hot
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Thursday Night
 Slight Chance T-storms then Partly Cloudy
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Friday
 Hot
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Friday Night
 Slight Chance T-storms then Partly Cloudy
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Saturday
 Sunny then Slight Chance T-storms
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Saturday Night
 T-storms Likely then Slight Chance T-storms
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Sunday
 Sunny then Slight Chance T-storms
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Hi 98 °F |
Lo 78 °F |
Hi 101 °F |
Lo 80 °F |
Hi 102 °F |
Lo 77 °F |
Hi 97 °F |
Lo 72 °F |
Hi 94 °F |
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Today
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Isolated showers and thunderstorms after 5pm. Sunny, with a high near 98. East southeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. |
Tonight
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Isolated showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 78. East southeast wind 5 to 8 mph becoming light and variable. Chance of precipitation is 20%. |
Thursday
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Sunny and hot, with a high near 101. East wind around 6 mph becoming south southwest in the afternoon. |
Thursday Night
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A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 80. South southwest wind 6 to 10 mph becoming west northwest in the evening. |
Friday
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Sunny and hot, with a high near 102. West southwest wind around 10 mph becoming northwest in the afternoon. |
Friday Night
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A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 77. Northwest wind around 10 mph becoming south in the evening. |
Saturday
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A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 97. West southwest wind 7 to 9 mph becoming east northeast in the morning. |
Saturday Night
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Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 72. East wind 5 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Sunday
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A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Sunny, with a high near 94. Southeast wind 5 to 7 mph. |
Sunday Night
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A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 73. |
Monday
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A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 94. |
Monday Night
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A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 73. |
Tuesday
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A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 94. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for 5 Miles SW Fort Bliss TX.
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Weather Forecast Discussion
034
FXUS64 KEPZ 090456
AFDEPZ
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
1056 PM MDT Tue Jul 8 2025
...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1036 PM MDT Tue Jul 8 2025
- Low to mid-grade monsoon conditions expected for Wednesday,
with storms enhanced in intensity to some degree by northerly
flow aloft and increased wind shear. Some lowland storms could
bring gusty winds and blowing dust as low level moisture
becomes limited.
- Expect decreasing thunderstorm coverage Thursday into Friday,
but storms will still attempt to drift into the lowlands in the
evenings.
- High temperatures will run about 5 to 10 degrees above normal
through the end of the week.
- An uptick in thunderstorm coverage is expected this weekend as
moisture and upper level support improves.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1036 PM MDT Tue Jul 8 2025
Storm coverage turned out a little higher than expected 24 hours
ago. But northerly flow and increased bulk layer shear aided in
storm intensity as expected. Several strong wind gusts were
reported, with blowing dust east of Lordsburg later spreading to
the playa, and likely pushing south towards Highway 9. Also
impressive, but highly localized flash flooding off San Augustin
Pass in Dona Ana County, and urban flooding in parts of El Paso.
Tomorrow (Wed) looks somewhat similar, but overall PWAT values
will be down slightly, and 0-6 km wind shear a little weaker, but
still around 30 knots in the afternoon, with northerly mid-level
flow bringing pockets of cooler air aloft associated with weak
disturbances. Expect storm coverage will be down slightly, but
lowland propagation is still favored, and wider dewpoint
depressions will again support stronger downbursts and outflow.
We`ll probably have dust issues in SW New Mexico yet again.
On Thursday, the subtropical ridge will drift westward and become
elongated on an east-west axis as a shortwave trough moves across
the northern Rockies. The ridge axis will be more or less right
over us, with warmer air aloft diminishing, but not eliminating,
precip coverage. An inverted trough will be moving into NE
Mexico, with a tongue of drier, subsident air stretching from
Oklahoma into the Big Bend region Thursday morning. Best precip
chances will be over the Gila during the afternoon, dropping into
SW New Mexico in the evening.
Friday looks similar to Thursday, but the inverted trough looks to
bring increased moisture to the area Saturday as it drifts south
of the area. A weak surface trough may increase low level
convergence as well. These conditions look to persist through the
weekend.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1036 PM MDT Tue Jul 8 2025
Variable, and generally light winds will persist overnight as
leftover outflow boundaries work themselves out. Northeast flow
will favor thunderstorms and outflow reaching the lowlands again
on Wednesday afternoon and evening, but with a slight downtick in
thunderstorm coverage. DMN most favored for thunder, followed by
LRU, both carrying PROB30s, though with no mention of dust for the
time being.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1117 AM MDT Tue Jul 8 2025
Daily thunderstorm chances will continue, especially over the area
mountains but drier air will be filtering in through Friday.
Expect high temperatures on the lowlands to get into the upper 90s
to around 105 by Thursday which will lower RH`s into the mid
teens, but the mountains will generally remain in the 20s. Winds
will be on the light side through Thursday and a slightly breezy
day with west to northwest winds for Friday. Moisture starts to
return for the weekend with an uptick in thunderstorm chances and
RH`s.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
El Paso 77 100 78 103 / 20 20 20 10
Sierra Blanca 67 92 66 94 / 10 10 10 0
Las Cruces 71 98 72 100 / 30 30 30 20
Alamogordo 69 97 72 100 / 20 20 20 10
Cloudcroft 53 75 54 77 / 30 60 30 30
Truth or Consequences 72 99 75 101 / 20 20 20 30
Silver City 66 93 68 95 / 40 50 30 50
Deming 72 100 73 103 / 40 40 50 20
Lordsburg 72 101 73 101 / 40 50 50 30
West El Paso Metro 77 97 77 100 / 20 20 20 10
Dell City 70 96 70 98 / 10 10 10 0
Fort Hancock 74 100 73 101 / 10 10 10 0
Loma Linda 69 92 70 94 / 10 20 20 10
Fabens 74 99 75 101 / 10 10 20 0
Santa Teresa 74 98 74 100 / 20 20 20 10
White Sands HQ 75 99 77 101 / 20 20 30 10
Jornada Range 70 98 72 100 / 20 30 30 20
Hatch 71 102 73 103 / 30 40 30 30
Columbus 74 100 76 102 / 40 30 50 20
Orogrande 71 96 71 97 / 20 30 30 10
Mayhill 57 85 59 88 / 20 50 30 30
Mescalero 58 85 60 88 / 30 60 40 30
Timberon 56 82 57 84 / 20 50 20 20
Winston 61 92 63 93 / 30 50 40 50
Hillsboro 68 98 70 99 / 30 50 30 40
Spaceport 69 98 70 100 / 20 30 30 30
Lake Roberts 61 95 63 95 / 40 60 30 50
Hurley 67 96 68 97 / 40 50 30 50
Cliff 69 101 70 102 / 40 50 30 50
Mule Creek 66 98 68 98 / 30 40 30 40
Faywood 69 95 70 96 / 40 50 30 50
Animas 72 101 74 101 / 50 40 50 30
Hachita 71 99 72 100 / 40 40 50 30
Antelope Wells 71 99 71 99 / 40 30 50 40
Cloverdale 71 95 69 94 / 50 40 50 50
&&
.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&
$$
FORECASTER...25-Hardiman
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