Corpus Christi, Texas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

068
FXUS64 KCRP 071739
AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
1239 PM CDT Sat Jun 7 2025

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1233 PM CDT Sat Jun 7 2025

- Major to Extreme risk of heat related impacts across
mainly western portions of South Texas through early next week.

- Increasing chance of showers and thunderstorms area wide by mid
week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1233 PM CDT Sat Jun 7 2025

Very little change in the forecast with respect to the heat this
weekend into early next week and a return of storms the middle of
next week.

The main concern continues to be the heat. A strong ridge in the mid
and upper levels draped across S TX, will result in temperatures
being around 5 degrees above normal. The high temperatures combined
with the humidity will bring a major to extreme risk of heat related
impacts across the Coastal Plains, Brush Country and Rio Grande
Plains Sunday through Tuesday. DESI shows a very low <20% chance of
the apparent temperature reaching 110 across the Brush Country and
inland Coastal Plains, thus leading to a lower confidence in the
need for Heat Advisories. Confidence is high that a few locations
will briefly reach around 110, but if heat indices of 110 or higher
becomes more widespread and more than a couple of hours, then a Heat
Advisory may be warranted. Will continue to monitor trends for
these conditions. The heat indices/apparent temperatures across
the Victoria Crossroads are expected to remain below 110 through
much of the period.

Rain chances increase beginning Tuesday as the upper ridge
retreats southwestward, in response to a mid level trough of low
pressure tracking southeastward toward S TX. This will allow
moisture advection into the region with PWATs increasing to around
1.8 inches. Latest model runs show the trough moving across S TX
Wed-Fri timeframe. The highest chance will be Wed with PoPs around
30 percent along the Rio Grande to 50 percent along the Coastal
Bend and 60 percent across the Victoria Crossroads. Thursday
afternoon will begin to see a gradual decrease in rain chances as
the upper trough slowly moves east. Rain chances will be low
(10-20%) by next weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1233 PM CDT Sat Jun 7 2025

Generally VFR conditions expected through the TAF cycle. Gusty winds
will decrease this evening after 02/03z before picking back up
tomorrow morning after 13/14z. There is a low chance that ALI could
see MVFR ceilings between 08-12z.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1233 PM CDT Sat Jun 7 2025

A moderate to fresh (BF 4-5) onshore breeze can be expected tonight
through next week.  Rain chances return Tuesday with around 30
chance of showers and thunderstorms, increasing to around 50 percent
Wednesday. Rain chances decrease by next weekend to 20-30 percent.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    80  94  80  94 /   0   0   0   0
Victoria          77  95  78  95 /   0   0   0   0
Laredo            78 104  79 105 /   0   0   0   0
Alice             77 100  77  99 /   0   0   0   0
Rockport          82  91  82  92 /   0   0   0   0
Cotulla           78 105  78 105 /   0   0   0   0
Kingsville        78  97  78  97 /   0   0   0   0
Navy Corpus       82  90  83  90 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$


DISCUSSION...TE/81
AVIATION...JCP/84