Hazleton, Pennsylvania 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

048
FXUS61 KBGM 161051
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
651 AM EDT Wed Apr 16 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
Lake effect snow showers will continue through the morning and
start to dissipate later this afternoon and evening. High
pressure will bring sunny and dry conditions Thursday with
temperatures trending warmer for the end of the week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Lake effect snow showers continue today with cold air advection
on NW flow. Most of the accumulating snow will occur early this
morning and then temperatures will rise to the mid to upper 30s
later today and limit accumulations during the daytime hours.
Higher elevations across Central NY could see 1 to 3 inches and
northern Oneida County will have close to 4 inches. The winter
weather advisory remains in effect for now across northern
Oneida until 8 pm this evening. However, there is a chance for
this advisory to be cancelled early due to warm pavement
temperatures during the daytime.

Ridging builds into the region tonight and will bring an end to
the lake effect snow. Thursday is looking much warmer, with the
ridge overhead and highs into the low to mid 50s. There may be
some fire weather concerns on Thursday as RH values drops into
the 20s percent range during the peak heating hours. However,
winds will be lighter with that high pressure settled overhead.
Nonetheless, an SPS may be needed if fine fuels are able to dry
out enough in the afternoon.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
320 AM Update:

High pressure will depart the area Thursday night as a warm
front begins to approach the area. Clear skies will be present
Thursday evening before some higher clouds begin to increase
late Thursday night/early Friday morning. The initial clear
skies and light winds will set the stage for decent radiational
cooling conditions and therefore low temperatures are expected
to be in the mid 20s to mid 30s.

By Friday, a warm front will be pushing through the region,
which will allow for some scattered rain showers to develop by
the late morning and especially by the afternoon. With this
warm front passage, it will be warmer on Friday with highs in
the upper 50s to mid 60s. Weak elevated instability enters the
picture by Friday evening, to present a slight chance of
embedded thunderstorms as well. Temperatures Friday night will
likely remain nearly steady in the lower 50s to lower 60s.

Our region will be in the warm sector on Saturday with the warm
front located well to the north and a cold front approaching
from the west. This cold front will spark some additional
scattered showers and perhaps a couple thunderstorms during the
day on Saturday. Highs on Saturday are expected to be in the
lower 60s to mid 70s, but this is highly dependent on the timing
of the frontal passage. An earlier passage would allow cooler
air to quickly filter in, while a later passage would allow
temperatures to surge well into the 70s for most of the area.

Drier air moves in Saturday night behind the departing cold
front, which will allow for any remaining rain showers to
gradually end. This will also allow cooler air to filter in,
with lows in Central NY expected to be in the mid 30s to lower
40s. Lows will be in the lower 40s to near 50 across much of
Northeast PA since the cold front likely lingering in the
vicinity of that region before moving east by daybreak Sunday
morning.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
320 AM Update:

Somewhat cooler air will be present on Sunday behind the cold
front with highs in the mid 50s to mid 60s. Most of the model
guidance brings dry conditions to the area with upper level
ridging and surface high pressure moving in, but the GFS brings
in additional scattered rain showers during the afternoon with a
quicker moving trough moving in from the Midwest. Right now
this looks like the outlier, so stuck with the NBM which keeps
PoPs out of most of the area.

The above mentioned trough brings a greater chance for scattered
rain showers to the area on Monday, but with this being 5 days
away, PoPs were capped at low-end chance. Some lingering rain
showers will be possible on Tuesday, but a quicker exit of the
trough could mean conditions dry out on Tuesday.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Scattered lake effect snow showers will continue across CNY
through this morning and possibly into the afternoon before beginning
to taper off and lift to the north late in the day. Brief IFR
in restrictions will be possible in heavier snow showers.

High pressure will build into the region overnight and bring an
end to the lake effect conditions with VFR returning.

Northwest wind gusts of 25 to 30 knots or even locally higher
expected through this afternoon before decreasing tonight.

Outlook...

Thursday...Likely VFR.

Friday...Afternoon showers possible along with associated
restrictions.

Saturday...Chance of showers and thunderstorms with associated
restrictions.

Sunday...Low chance of showers and any restrictions.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...Winter Weather Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for NYZ009.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...MPK
NEAR TERM...MPK
SHORT TERM...BJG
LONG TERM...BJG
AVIATION...MPK