Tahlequah, Oklahoma 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

958
FXUS64 KTSA 111033
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
533 AM CDT Fri Apr 11 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 532 AM CDT Fri Apr 11 2025

  - Near average temperatures and pleasant weather Today; Warming
    trend into the weekend, with Sunday expected to be the warmest
    day of 2025 thus far.

  - Limited fire weather concerns in northeast Oklahoma on
    Sunday, with gusty southerly winds and well above normal
    temperatures ahead of a cold front.

  - Rain and thunderstorm chances (20-40%) return by mid-late week
    next week, along with another cold front.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and Saturday)
Issued at 200 AM CDT Fri Apr 11 2025

Very close to a Chamber of Commerce day across the region today.
Highs forecast near average for this time of year behind
yesterday`s cold front under full insolation. Northerly winds
will be a bit more gusty during the day over into western AR
closer to the departing upper trough. Winds will go light and
variable tonight as the surface ridge axis slides overhead.
Southerly winds return and the warming trend begins on Saturday.
Winds will become gusty by afternoon especially from Tulsa and
points N and W. South winds will remain strong and gusty into
Saturday night.

Lacy

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Thursday)
Issued at 200 AM CDT Fri Apr 11 2025

The upper pattern will be predominantly NW flow over the Plains
thru the forecast. A pair of shortwaves will traverse from the Pac
NW southeastward across the country, pushing thru cold fronts
Monday and again on Thursday.

A LLTR expands from the High Plains to the east over the forecast
area Sunday ahead of an approaching front, in response to a
downslope flow regime. As a result, forecast highs are expected to
be the warmest of 2025 thus far, with points from Tulsa and
Bartlesville westward reaching the upper 80s and possibly close to
90. Winds will remain gusty, in the 30 to 35 mph range, which will
raise fire weather concerns to limited (recent rains and green up
limit overall potential).

Cold front pushes thru Monday morning and is expected to come thru
dry. Highs will drop back to near or slightly below average across
the north behind the front. North winds will be gusty for a time
behind the front before backing off toward the end of the day.

Models show a signal for WAA storms Tuesday night into Wednesday
morning with retreating front mainly across NE OK. Storm chances
continue Wednesday night into Thursday with another cold front.

Lacy

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 532 AM CDT Fri Apr 11 2025

VFR conditions prevail through the valid period at all area sites.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   71  46  76  60 /   0   0   0   0
FSM   73  45  77  55 /   0   0   0   0
MLC   74  46  76  60 /   0   0   0   0
BVO   71  41  76  57 /   0   0   0   0
FYV   68  39  73  56 /   0   0   0   0
BYV   64  41  72  56 /   0   0   0   0
MKO   71  44  75  60 /   0   0   0   0
MIO   67  42  73  59 /   0   0   0   0
F10   73  46  77  62 /   0   0   0   0
HHW   74  46  73  57 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...30
LONG TERM....30
AVIATION...10