Newcastle, Oklahoma 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

740
FXUS64 KOUN 071746
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
1246 PM CDT Sat Jun 7 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1240 PM CDT Sat Jun 7 2025

- Episodic rounds of showers and thunderstorms will continue this
  weekend. Severe weather is expected.

- Heavy rainfall and localized flooding will be possible this
  morning. A Flood Watch is in effect until 12 PM Saturday.

&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 1251 AM CDT Sat Jun 7 2025

A gradual weakening of a east-west oriented line of storms near and
south of I-40 is expected to occur this morning. By mid/late morning
most of the area is expected to be rain-free as most of the storms
dissipate or shift east of the area. Additional convection may occur
this afternoon along a weak surface front or affective outflow
boundary from the morning storms across southern Oklahoma southward
into north Texas. Instability and deep-layer shear will again be
sufficient for severe storms, along with some heavy rainfall. Flood
Watch continues through midday today. This activity will be slow to
shift south overnight and may linger into Sunday morning. Much of
the remainder of the area looks to remain dry Saturday afternoon and
evening.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Sunday through Monday night)
Issued at 1251 AM CDT Sat Jun 7 2025

Daytime hours on Sunday should remain dry and very warm as front
lifts north through the area toward the Kansas border. This along
with a southward approaching cold front and associated upslope flow
will result in another complex of storms developing across the
higher terrain of southwest Kansas into the Oklahoma and Texas
panhandles Sunday afternoon. This complex will then propagate
southeast across the area Sunday afternoon and evening with hail,
damaging winds and very heavy rainfall.

Again expect a lull in the precip Monday in the wake of overnight
complex. Some afternoon and evening storms are possible late Monday
into Monday night across the Red River valley.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through Friday)
Issued at 1251 AM CDT Sat Jun 7 2025

As we go into Tuesday a bit of a split flow over the western part of
the conus with southern stream system moving through the southern
Rockies out into Texas bringing additional rain chances to mainly
southern OK and north TX. This system will then become closed off and
slowly lift north and northeast Wednesday into Thursday with more
widespread rain chances.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1240 PM CDT Sat Jun 7 2025

A weak frontal boundary, located across west central and central
Oklahoma, will continue to drift southward this afternoon. A few
storms may develop near the boundary late this afternoon. If
storms form they should mainly impact the DUA terminal through
2-3Z Sunday. Otherwise, mainly VFR conditions are expected this
afternoon through 18Z Sunday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  67  90  65  82 /  10  20  60  20
Hobart OK         68  92  64  84 /  10  40  80  20
Wichita Falls TX  73  94  66  82 /  10  30  80  30
Gage OK           62  86  59  83 /   0  40  50  10
Ponca City OK     64  89  62  84 /   0  10  40  10
Durant OK         71  91  68  84 /  50  20  80  50

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Flood Watch until 1 PM CDT this afternoon for OKZ004>032-039>043-
     046>048.

TX...None.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...30
SHORT TERM...30
LONG TERM....30
AVIATION...06