Kettering, Ohio 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

537
FXUS61 KILN 091901
AFDILN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
301 PM EDT Wed Apr 9 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
Low pressure over the middle Mississippi River Valley will slowly
move across the Ohio Valley tonight and Thursday. This will bring
warmer temperatures and increased chances of precipitation. Cooler
temperatures will follow to close the work week before a ridge of
high pressure offers a warm up heading into the weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
A southwesterly low level jet will provide impetus for isentropic
lift tonight. This will combine with a warm front draped across the
Ohio Valley to bring rain through the early morning hours. Lows will
generally remain in the 40s tonight due to thick clouds and
precipitation.


&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
Surface low pressure will arrive into the region on Thursday.
Southwesterly flow ahead of the low will lift temperatures into the
upper 50s to middle 60s by afternoon. There could be a few showers
and storms develop in the warm sector across our southern counties
for the afternoon due to the arrival of modest instability. Late in
the day, a sagging cold front will bring colder air into the CWA from
north to south. Low temperatures will dip into the upper 30s to lower
40s in the cold air advection behind the front.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Deep mid level trough over the region at the beginning of the period
will develop into a closed low over the Appalachians. This will then
translate eastward early next week. As that occurs, mid level
ridging will move across the area on Sunday. Next short wave will
move into the Great Lakes on Monday with a trailing short wave
tracking into the Ohio Valley on Tuesday.

At the surface, a low will move from the southern Appalachians into
the Tidewater, becoming rather expansive over time. This will keep
clouds across eastern counties with less cloud cover further west.
Where this gradient in cloud cover sets up is still a bit of a
question. This will affect the potential for frost Friday night as
temperatures fall into the 30s. High pressure will finally build in
over the weekend allowing skies to clear areawide, with more
potential for frost Saturday night.

As the high moves off to the east and a cold front approaches, the
pressure gradient will tighten on Monday allowing for some gusty
winds. There will be showers and possibly some thunder as the front
moves through Monday afternoon and evening. Some additional showers
will be possible on Tuesday with a secondary front.

Cool temperatures to start the period, but there will be a warming
trend with readings near normal on Sunday and above normal on
Monday. But then temperatures will be cooler on Tuesday.&&

.AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Low pressure to the west will lead to thickening clouds and rain
tonight. While there could be off and on showers late this afternoon
into the evening (more coverage from DAY-CMH, less CVG-ILN),
widespread rain will become likely after midnight through the early
morning hours. The precipitation shield will then shift off to the
east Thursday morning, leaving behind low MVFR to occasionally IFR
ceilings through the rest of the morning.

Main uncertainty is exact timing of precipitation as well as
potential intermittent visibility restrictions in the showers...
potentially down to the 3-5 mile range at times.

OUTLOOK...Thunderstorms possible Thursday evening. MVFR CIGs
likely Friday.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...