Leland, North Carolina 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

060
FXUS62 KILM 171940
AFDILM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
340 PM EDT Thu Apr 17 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will move offshore by Friday, leading to a
significant warming trend for the weekend. Rain chances increase
towards the middle of next week with the next frontal system.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Quiet and seasonable tonight as high pressure to our north
progresses eastward. Mid level ridging pokes in from the southwest
on Friday and the surface high will be off the coast. This will lead
to an increase in both temperatures and dewpoint.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
Pretty quiet weather through this period. Offshore high pressure
keeps lighter SSW flow around, while ridging aloft builds and warms
up the airmass in place. Look for a lovely Saturday, with highs in
the upper 80s inland, upper 70s at the coast. Water temperatures
hang around in the lower 60s, which will help push a healthy
seabreeze circulation inland. Lows Friday night in the upper 50s,
becoming the lower 60s by Saturday night.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Upper low in the Plains picks up and moves northeastward into the
Great Lakes region Sunday and Monday. Some of the shortwave energy
moves a bit closer to the area, but the majority of it looks to be
well to the north. Look for an increase in cloud cover Sunday and
Monday, but no rain chances in play. Highs each day well in the 80s,
lows in the lower 60s.

Frontal system approaches and stalls near the area Tuesday through
Thursday, where modest shower and thunderstorm chances show back up
again. Low temperatures remain about the same, while highs should be
2-3 degrees cooler.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
VFR likely for all terminals through the period with one
possible, low confidence location. There is still more guidance
that keeps ILM VFR but a few that dip its VSBY down to 4sm in
fog. Have introduced a TEMPO to cover for this possibility.

Extended Outlook...High confidence in VFR daytime Friday
through the weekend. Increasing rain chances could bring
restrictions Monday.

&&

.MARINE...
Through Friday...High pressure centered north of the area will
progress eastward through the period.  This will favor very light
winds that will veer only slightly from SW to S. With no appreciable
swell the only seas will be the diminutive wind chop.

Friday Night through Tuesday...Very persistent conditions through
the extended marine forecast period. Winds remain out of the SSW at
10-15 kts, with seas hanging in at 2-3 ft. South to southeast swell
to have long periods at 7-9 seconds.

&&

.ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...None.
SC...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...ILM
NEAR TERM...MBB
SHORT TERM...IGB
LONG TERM...IGB
AVIATION...MBB
MARINE...MBB/IGB