Truth Consequences, New Mexico 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

261
FXUS64 KEPZ 302012
AFDEPZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
112 PM MST Thu Jan 30 2025

...New DISCUSSION, FIRE WEATHER...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1243 PM MST Thu Jan 30 2025

 - Windy and dusty conditions subside this evening

 - Much warmer temperatures arrive by early next week and dry

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1243 PM MST Thu Jan 30 2025

Areas of blowing dust are seen on RGB satellite imagery early
this afternoon from Deming eastward along the Int`l border.
Visibilities as low as 2 miles are possible into the early evening
before the dust settles. Wind gusts of 30-40 mph have been
observed so far today from the W-NW and will subside this evening
as the low pressure departs to the east tonight. The Wind Advisory
for the Sacs continues until 6pm. Another chilly night is
expected due to lighter winds and clear skies with Friday AM lows
in the 20s across the lowlands.

Weak flow aloft takes over for Friday, allowing for some
temperature moderation. Upper ridging begins to build in from the
southwest over the weekend, keeping the warming trend going for
most of the forecast period. Zonal/southwest flow dominates the
pattern for the first half of next week with afternoon highs
climbing well into the 70s by Monday. Daily record highs will be
challenged early in the workweek as El Paso has a medium chance of
reaching 80F on Tuesday. It seems like Spring has arrived with
still above average temperatures lasting into next weekend. Precip
chances remain near zero through the period as the storm track
stays well north of our area. Sometime around next Wednesday is
looking breezy as a shortwave passes through the Rockies,
otherwise winds will be generally light.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1036 AM MST Thu Jan 30 2025

On the backside of the storm system that`s leaving the region,
SCT-BKN040 have developed along the Int`l border. Clouds should
dissipate by the early afternoon as dry air filters in with mainly
SKC returning tonight. W winds increase to start the period,
gusting to 25-35kts into the evening. There`s a medium-high chance
that KELP reaches AWW criteria during the afternoon. Out of the
four TAF sites, BLDU is most likely to be seen at KELP later this
afternoon with VIS dropping as low as 4SM before conditions
improve this evening. Winds subside tonight, becoming light and
variable by tomorrow morning.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1243 PM MST Thu Jan 30 2025

Fire weather concerns remain low through the forecast period.
Breezy to windy conditions from the west-northwest linger into
this evening before subsiding tonight. Precipitation chances will
be near zero into next week under a quiet weather pattern.
Generally light winds and warming temperatures are expected,
reaching well above normal early next week. Relative humidities
will be near or below critical levels beginning on Friday,
contributing to elevated fire danger in isolated spots.

Min RHs range from 10-20% on Friday, then 8-15% on Saturday. Vent
rates will be mostly poor on Friday, then poor to good.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
El Paso                  31  61  35  66 /   0   0   0   0
Sierra Blanca            28  59  32  66 /   0   0   0   0
Las Cruces               26  59  28  65 /   0   0   0   0
Alamogordo               24  58  26  63 /   0   0   0   0
Cloudcroft               20  45  24  46 /   0   0   0   0
Truth or Consequences    27  58  28  65 /   0   0   0   0
Silver City              24  57  29  61 /   0   0   0   0
Deming                   22  61  25  67 /   0   0   0   0
Lordsburg                21  61  23  65 /   0   0   0   0
West El Paso Metro       32  60  36  65 /   0   0   0   0
Dell City                24  60  25  67 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Hancock             26  63  29  72 /   0   0   0   0
Loma Linda               28  55  33  59 /   0   0   0   0
Fabens                   28  61  30  68 /   0   0   0   0
Santa Teresa             27  58  30  63 /   0   0   0   0
White Sands HQ           32  59  35  64 /   0   0   0   0
Jornada Range            21  59  25  65 /   0   0   0   0
Hatch                    24  62  25  68 /   0   0   0   0
Columbus                 28  59  28  66 /   0   0   0   0
Orogrande                25  57  28  62 /   0   0   0   0
Mayhill                  25  58  28  60 /   0   0   0   0
Mescalero                21  53  25  55 /   0   0   0   0
Timberon                 20  51  24  55 /   0   0   0   0
Winston                  18  56  19  63 /   0   0   0   0
Hillsboro                27  58  29  67 /   0   0   0   0
Spaceport                22  58  25  65 /   0   0   0   0
Lake Roberts             14  59  14  61 /   0   0   0   0
Hurley                   21  58  24  64 /   0   0   0   0
Cliff                    18  65  20  70 /   0   0   0   0
Mule Creek               15  60  19  62 /   0   0   0   0
Faywood                  26  58  29  64 /   0   0   0   0
Animas                   21  63  24  70 /   0   0   0   0
Hachita                  22  61  25  68 /   0   0   0   0
Antelope Wells           24  61  28  70 /   0   0   0   0
Cloverdale               27  61  33  65 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...Wind Advisory until 6 PM MST this evening for East Slopes
     Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-Sacramento Mountains
     Above 7500 Feet-West Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500
     Feet.

&&

$$

FORECASTER...39-Aronson