Bloomfield, New Mexico 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

045
FXUS65 KABQ 030852
AFDABQ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
252 AM MDT Tue Jun 3 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, FIRE WEATHER...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 155 AM MDT Tue Jun 3 2025

- Daily rounds of afternoon and overnight showers and
  thunderstorms are forecast today and Wednesday.

- Drier air will filter New Mexico during the latter half of the
  week, but thunderstorm coverage will still be fairly widespread
  Thursday when some dry and gusty cells are expected over central
  and western areas.

- Afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms will increase in
  coverage over eastern and central areas Sunday, then further
  Monday when activity may reach as far west as the continental
  divide. Some storms west of the central mountain chain will
  probably produce gusty winds with little or no rain Sunday and
  Monday.

- Isolated strong-to-severe thunderstorms are likely over eastern
  areas Wednesday, Thursday, Sunday, and Monday.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Wednesday)
Issued at 155 AM MDT Tue Jun 3 2025

The first of two Pacific lows to impact the region is currently
moving northeast into southeast CO per the latest water vapor
satellite imagery and convection has ended. As the upper low
continues to move away from NM, a backdoor front will follow in
it`s wake and move southwest to the central mountain chain later
today. Gusty northerly winds will prevail this morning behind the
front across northeast and east central NM. The front will help to
force convection late this afternoon along the east slopes of the
central mountain chain and the HPCC burn scar will likely receive
some moderate to heavy rainfall. However, model spread in qpf
amounts over that area and higher warning thresholds this season are
leading to a lower confidence forecast for flash flood potential.
Will hold off on a Flash Flood Watch for now, although there is
still a moderate risk for flooding on that scar later this
afternoon/evening. Elsewhere, scattered showers and storms will be
initiated by daytime heating with very low probabilities for severe
storms. The front will move west through the central mountain chain
this evening and result in a gusty east canyon wind into the Rio
Grande and Upper Tularosa Valleys, which may be enhanced by
convective outflow through Tijeras Pass. Current forecast is for
speeds to remain well below advisory threshold.

The second Pacific low, currently offshore of SoCal per the latest
water vapor satellite imagery, will move northeast toward NM Tuesday
night and interact with forcing from the backdoor front to keep
convection going and focused over northern areas. Winds aloft will
trend up Wednesday as the upper low opens up and moves to the Four
Corners as a shortwave trough. Winds in the lower atmosphere will
respond to the approaching upper air feature and increase out of the
south, setting up favorable veering wind profiles and creating a
decent shear environment for a few severe storms by late day across
the northern half of the area. The SPC has much of our area in a
marginal risk for severe storms for Wednesday, but the best forcing
will be along/west of the Sangre De Cristo Mountains to the Four
Corners region.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through Monday)
Issued at 155 AM MDT Tue Jun 3 2025

Drier air will filter over the state from the southwest during the
latter half of the week as an upper level trough over the western
US gradually weakens. As a result, the coverage and rainfall
intensity of showers and thunderstorms will decrease reaching a
roughly 15-35 percent probability of precipitation over the Sangre
de Cristo Mountains and parts of the eastern plains during the
afternoon and/or evening Friday and Saturday. There will probably
be some gusty and dry thunderstorms and virga showers in the mix
over western and central areas Thursday afternoon and early
evening, while shear and instability profiles on the far eastern
plains produce a few strong to severe storms. Meanwhile, high
temperatures will trend warmer during the latter half of the week
climbing above average over southern areas, while remaining near
to several degrees below average farther north.

Sunday and Monday a ridge of high pressure will build over the
western US placing eastern parts of the forecast area under
northwest flow aloft. This will enable moist backdoor fronts to
dive into the state both Saturday night and Sunday night,
spreading the coverage of afternoon and evening showers and
thunderstorms gradually westward. Convection may develop as far
west as the northwest mountains and Santa Fe by Sunday afternoon
and evening, and probably as far west as the continental divide on
Monday. The best chance for wetting precip will be over the
northern mountains and along and east of the central mountain
chain. In addition, this weather pattern is notorious for
producing strong to severe thunderstorms east of the central
mountain chain.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1022 PM MDT Mon Jun 2 2025

Areas of MVFR cigs will prevail overnight across central and
western NM, most likely impacting KFMN and KGUP. Given sufficient
clearing near sunrise, patches of fog may develop as well, but
low forecast confidence at this time. A backdoor front will move
through KLVS and KTCC early Tuesday morning, with gusts around
30kts forecast at KTCC. The backdoor front will result in a gusty
east canyon wind at KABQ Tuesday evening and will initiate storms
along the central mountain chain and into the RGV by late day,
impacting KLVS, KSAF and later at KABQ/KAEG. Short-lived MVFR
conditions are likely with shower and storms Tuesday
afternoon/evening.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 155 AM MDT Tue Jun 3 2025

Good chances for wetting rain will persist across much of northern
NM through Wednesday as another Pacific low approaches from over
SoCal. A warming/drying trend is forecast thereafter, with elevated
fire weather conditions possible across southern and western
portions of the area going into the weekend. A backdoor front will
recharge moisture on Sunday into early next week and bring chances
for wetting rain back to areas along/east of the central mountain
chain.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Farmington......................  82  55  74  52 /  20  30  70  60
Dulce...........................  76  43  69  41 /  20  40  80  70
Cuba............................  75  48  69  46 /  20  60  70  60
Gallup..........................  78  45  74  39 /  30  40  60  30
El Morro........................  75  48  72  46 /  30  40  50  20
Grants..........................  78  48  75  44 /  30  50  50  20
Quemado.........................  78  49  78  46 /  20  40  20  10
Magdalena.......................  78  54  79  52 /  20  40  20  20
Datil...........................  77  51  77  48 /  20  50  20  10
Reserve.........................  82  47  82  44 /  30  20  10   0
Glenwood........................  85  51  86  49 /  10  10  10   0
Chama...........................  70  41  64  39 /  20  40  80  70
Los Alamos......................  73  52  69  51 /  30  70  60  60
Pecos...........................  71  48  68  49 /  50  60  60  60
Cerro/Questa....................  70  47  66  46 /  40  40  70  70
Red River.......................  60  40  58  39 /  50  50  80  70
Angel Fire......................  64  38  62  36 /  40  50  70  60
Taos............................  73  46  70  43 /  30  40  60  60
Mora............................  67  43  66  42 /  50  60  60  70
Espanola........................  80  53  76  49 /  20  50  40  60
Santa Fe........................  74  52  71  52 /  30  60  60  60
Santa Fe Airport................  78  52  74  51 /  20  50  50  50
Albuquerque Foothills...........  82  58  78  58 /  20  50  50  40
Albuquerque Heights.............  83  58  80  56 /  10  50  30  30
Albuquerque Valley..............  85  58  82  54 /  10  50  30  30
Albuquerque West Mesa...........  84  59  79  57 /  10  50  30  30
Belen...........................  85  56  85  53 /  10  50  20  20
Bernalillo......................  84  58  81  55 /  10  50  30  40
Bosque Farms....................  85  55  83  52 /  10  50  20  30
Corrales........................  85  58  81  55 /  10  50  30  40
Los Lunas.......................  85  57  83  53 /  10  50  20  20
Placitas........................  81  56  78  56 /  20  50  40  40
Rio Rancho......................  84  59  79  56 /  20  50  30  40
Socorro.........................  86  60  88  58 /  10  50  10  20
Sandia Park/Cedar Crest.........  76  50  73  50 /  20  50  50  40
Tijeras.........................  78  52  76  52 /  20  50  50  40
Edgewood........................  77  48  75  49 /  20  60  50  40
Moriarty/Estancia...............  78  46  76  45 /  20  60  40  40
Clines Corners..................  71  45  70  49 /  20  50  30  50
Mountainair.....................  77  49  76  49 /  20  60  20  30
Gran Quivira....................  77  49  77  49 /  10  50  20  30
Carrizozo.......................  81  58  82  57 /   5  30  10  30
Ruidoso.........................  74  51  74  53 /  20  20  20  30
Capulin.........................  60  43  66  47 /  60  50  30  80
Raton...........................  67  45  70  47 /  50  50  40  70
Springer........................  71  46  72  49 /  40  40  30  70
Las Vegas.......................  69  46  67  48 /  40  50  40  70
Clayton.........................  65  47  73  54 /  30  20  20  80
Roy.............................  69  46  70  52 /  30  50  30  80
Conchas.........................  77  51  79  57 /  20  40  20  80
Santa Rosa......................  77  50  77  56 /  10  40  20  70
Tucumcari.......................  76  49  78  58 /  10  40  10  80
Clovis..........................  78  51  78  60 /   5  20  10  80
Portales........................  81  51  79  59 /   5  20  10  70
Fort Sumner.....................  81  51  81  59 /   5  40  10  70
Roswell.........................  91  61  84  66 /   5  10  10  50
Picacho.........................  84  54  80  57 /   5  10  10  40
Elk.............................  81  51  79  54 /  20  10  20  40

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...11
LONG TERM....44
AVIATION...11