Elko, Nevada 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

343
FXUS65 KLKN 160736
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
1236 AM PDT Wed Jul 16 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

Updated at 1236 AM PDT Wed Jul 16 2025

* Isolated dry thunderstorms expected in parts of Northern and
  Central Nevada this afternoon into this evening

* An isolated mix of wet and dry thunderstorms anticipated in
  most of Northern and Central Nevada Thursday afternoon into
  Thursday evening

* Isolated to scattered wet thunderstorms expected in Eastern
  Nevada Friday afternoon into Friday evening

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(Today through next Wednesday)
Issued at 1236 AM PDT Wed Jul 16 2025

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: A ridge of high pressure will extend
northwestward across Northern Nevada today. There should be enough
lift and atmospheric instability for isolated dry thunderstorm
development this afternoon in parts of Northern and Central
Nevada. A few of these thunderstorms could be strong. The primary
thunderstorm hazards will be wind gusts near 55 mph and dangerous
cloud to ground lightning strikes. An upper-level area of low
pressure near the Baja Peninsula will begin to move northward
Thursday. This should pull atmospheric moisture northward into the
Silver State. As a result, isolated thunderstorms Thursday
afternoon into Thursday evening should be a mix of wet and dry
storms. The aforementioned cyclone aloft should be centered over
Southern California Friday. Isolated to scattered, primarily wet,
thunderstorms are expected in Eastern Nevada Friday afternoon
into Friday evening. Here are probabilities of thunderstorms for
select locations in Northern and Central Nevada on Friday, July
18th, 2025:

Lund - 34%
Ely - 33%
Great Basin National Park - 32%
Eureka - 27%
Currie - 25%
Jackpot - 22%
Ruby Lake - 21%
West Wendover - 21%
Tonopah - 20%
Wells - 18%

The upper-level area of low pressure should open up into a trough
of low pressure Saturday, before progressing eastward into the
Desert Southwest Sunday. It looks as if Saturday will be the last
day for potential thunderstorm formation in the service area.
Broad, cyclonic flow is expected over the Pacific Northwest early
next week. High temperatures each afternoon Saturday through next
Wednesday will be near normal for this time of year.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High forecast confidence
regarding isolated dry thunderstorms in portions of Northern and
Central Nevada this afternoon into this evening. High forecast
confidence in an isolated mix of wet and dry thunderstorms in the
majority of Northern and Central Nevada Thursday afternoon into
Thursday evening. High forecast confidence regarding isolated to
scattered wet thunderstorms in Eastern Nevada Friday afternoon
into Friday evening. Expanded the area of dry thunderstorms this
afternoon into this evening, otherwise no deviations from the NBM
model output.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)

VFR conditions are forecast for all terminals through Wednesday
morning. Winds will be light to breezy out of the West to
Southwest at 5KT to 15KT with gusts up 25KT possible. scattered
dry thunderstorms are possible at all terminals Tuesday afternoon
and evening with erratic outflow winds up to 35KT and few
lightning strikes the main hazards. Ceilings at Tuesday afternoon
with scattered CU will vary between 08kFt to 12kFT.


AMD NOT SKED at KELY due to malfunctioning VIS sensor.
AMD NOT SKED at KBAM due to communication disruption.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Isolated dry thunderstorms are anticipated in portions of Northern
and Central Nevada this afternoon into this evening. A few of
these thunderstorms may be strong. The primary thunderstorm
hazards will be erratic wind gusts near 55 mph and dangerous cloud
to ground lighting strikes. An isolated mix of wet and dry
thunderstorms are expected in the majority of Northern and Central
Nevada Thursday afternoon into Thursday evening. Isolated to
scattered wet thunderstorms are anticipated in Eastern Nevada
Friday afternoon into Friday evening. Isolated wet thunderstorms
are expected in portions of Northern and Central Nevada Saturday
afternoon into Saturday evening. Dry weather should return to the
Silver State Sunday.

&&

.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...87
AVIATION...98
FIRE WEATHER...87