Ruston, Louisianna 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

039
FXUS64 KSHV 111543
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1043 AM CDT Fri Apr 11 2025

...New UPDATE...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1039 AM CDT Fri Apr 11 2025

Another morning, another round of rapidly warming temperatures
across the ArkLaTex. Based on the observed exceedance of the
projected 15-16Z values, and taking into account NBM performance
this week, bumped this afternoon`s high temperatures up 2-3
degrees areawide, aiming solidly for the upper 70s to lower 80s.
Ingested the most recent several hours worth of temperature and
dew point observations and interpolated through to 00Z.

/26/

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Friday through Saturday)
Issued at 343 AM CDT Fri Apr 11 2025

A benign forecast continues through the short term period as high
pressure remains dominate across the ArkLaTex vicinity. A stalled
frontal boundary located across the I-20 corridor early this morning
will gradually push south through the late morning and afternoon.
While a dramatic cool down is not anticipated, drier air behind the
front will allow for comfortable conditions to prevail heading into
the weekend. High temperatures both this afternoon and for Saturday
will be slightly influenced by the passing front, with maxT`s only
climbing into the upper 70`s and low 80`s both days. Though drier
air will be in play, prevailing breezy NW winds will help to keep
temperatures from over-performing compared to if winds were calmer
under the drier regime. Nonetheless, a comfortable forecast is
expected for the end of the week, and the start of the weekend.

KNAPP

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday Night through Friday)
Issued at 343 AM CDT Fri Apr 11 2025

A noticeable warming trend will follow the brief cool down that
started the weekend. Both Sunday and Monday will see highs in the
mid to possibly upper 80`s in some locations as surging southerlies
introduce somewhat higher dew points and a warmer Gulf airmass to
the region. This will be quickly undercut as another frontal
boundary slices through the region by Tuesday AM. Timing of the
front will be similar to that of the front currently working through
the area. Again, analysis of the boundary on the global output shows
a weakening of the forcing as the front moves through the area. In
return, this looks to be another dry passage, with a cool down on
the backside of the boundary for Tuesday afternoon. High pressure
looks to quickly fill in behind the front, with warmer temperatures
to follow.

By now, you`re likely catching on that the forecast features little
to no rainfall. In fact, the 7 day QPF output from the Weather
Prediction Center features totals at or below half an inch. For now,
the earliest, and best chance in the forecast for some portions of
the ArkLaTex to see any precip would be late in the forecast period,
around D6 and D7, as a SFC low works across the Plains, with just
enough energy across the northern zones to produce the chance for
showers and maybe a few thunderstorms. Outside of this, the
forecast is expected to remain relatively seasonal, to slightly
above average from a temperature perspective, while trending on
the dry side.

KNAPP

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 605 AM CDT Fri Apr 11 2025

For the 11/12z TAF period...Expect VFR conditions with mostly
clear skies. Calm to light & variable winds this morning will
become northerly near 10 mph, with gusts 15 to 20 mph this
afternoon. These elevated winds will become light & variable to
calm again after sunset. /20/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 345 AM CDT Thu Apr 11 2025

Spotter activation is not expected across the Four State Region
attm.

53

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  83  50  79  57 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  80  47  74  52 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  78  44  73  52 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  80  47  76  56 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  78  44  76  52 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  81  51  80  59 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  80  47  78  56 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  84  50  81  57 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...26
LONG TERM....53
AVIATION...20