Monroe, Louisianna 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

683
FXUS64 KSHV 301843 RRA
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion...DELAYED
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
143 PM CDT Fri May 30 2025

...New AVIATION, SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1031 AM CDT Fri May 30 2025

Made minor adjustments to rain chances through the rest of the
morning based on recent MRMS radar trends across the area, which
suggest that showers/light rain is lingering a bit further north
than the current forecast reflects.

A slow-moving cold front is pushing south across the local area
this morning, with areas of precipitation in its vicinity. This
front should clear the area by the afternoon, taking rain chances
with it. In its wake, skies will gradually be clearing, with
dewpoints falling a few degrees into the upper 50s and low 60s.

The rest of the forecast is in good shape. The previous forecast
discussion can be referenced below for greater detail.

Kovacik

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Friday through Saturday)
Issued at 346 AM CDT Fri May 30 2025

At the time of writing, some showers and thunderstorms are moving
through portions of NE Texas into SE Arkansas along a cold front.
This cold front will continue to push to the southeast through
the day Friday, with the rain gradually dissipating by midday.
Cloud cover will be slower to clear behind the front. But most
of the Four State Region should have mostly clear skies by the
afternoon hours, allowing for afternoon highs to reach the upper
70s to mid 80s. The frontal passage, in conjunction with clear
skies and light surface winds, will allow for a slightly cooler
night. Overnight lows will likely be in the mid 50s to 60s just
before daybreak on Saturday.

Our persistant northwest flow regime will continue through the day
on Saturday, helping bring in drier air from the north. Afternoon
highs will still climb into the 80s, but RH`s in the 30s and 40s
will help keep conditions comfortable for a beautiful Saturday.
/57/

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday Night through Friday)
Issued at 346 AM CDT Fri May 30 2025

Even though northwest flow will continue into the long term, a
shortwave upper-level trough could bring some showers into parts
of SE Oklahoma and E Texas on Sunday. The clarity on the rain
coverage should come with more medium-range model runs, but
conditions are looking like they will favor light rain over
thunderstorms at this time. Northwest flow will finally give way
to upper-level ridging Monday morning and a warming trend.
Southerly surface winds will keep afternoon highs in the upper 80s
and low 90s through the week.

There is a good amount of uncertainty on conditions during the
middle of next week. Long-range guidance is suggesting a split
in the upper-level flow in the Central US beginning on Tuesday.
While most of the Ark-La-Tx will be under a low amplitude ridge,
areas in the Central Plains will likely be dealing with a low
amplitude trough. It is possible that the forcing mechanism in
the Plains could be enough to have impacts clip our northwestern
zones. At the same time, continued southwest flow could bring
enough warmth and moisture for a more stratiform rain event to
occur. Neither of these scenarios come with a ton of certainty due
to the inconsistency of the upper-level pattern in recent model
runs. That being said, we will be keeping an eye on new guidance
as it becomes available and refine the forecast. /57/

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 130 PM CDT Fri May 30 2025

For the 30/18Z TAF update, VFR vis/cigs are expected through the
period with some isolated MVFR vis by 30/10-15Z. Light surface
winds will continue through the period before gaining speed from
the north by the end of the period. /16/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 130 PM CDT Fri May 30 2025

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  63  87  66  86 /   0   0  10  10
MLU  63  86  64  85 /   0   0  10  10
DEQ  56  84  61  82 /   0   0  30  10
TXK  60  85  65  84 /   0   0  20  10
ELD  59  84  62  84 /   0   0  10  10
TYR  62  84  66  85 /   0   0  20  20
GGG  60  85  64  85 /   0   0  20  20
LFK  64  86  65  88 /   0   0  10  20

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...57
LONG TERM....57
AVIATION...16