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Carencro, Louisianna 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
NWS Forecast for Carencro LA
National Weather Service Forecast for: Carencro LA
Issued by: National Weather Service Lake Charles, LA
Updated: 12:51 pm CDT Jun 27, 2025
 
This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 5pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. Heat index values as high as 100. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
T-storms
Likely

Tonight

Tonight: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 8pm.  Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly clear, with a low around 74. South wind around 5 mph becoming calm.
Chance
T-storms then
Partly Cloudy
Saturday

Saturday: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly between 3pm and 5pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 90. Heat index values as high as 100. Calm wind becoming southeast around 5 mph in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Sunny then
T-storms
Likely
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 7pm.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 75. South wind around 5 mph becoming calm  in the evening.
Chance
T-storms then
Mostly Clear
Sunday

Sunday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 1pm, then showers and thunderstorms between 1pm and 4pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 4pm.  High near 89. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Showers
Likely then
T-storms
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: T-Storms likely before 7pm, then a slight chance of showers after 1am.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 75. South wind around 5 mph becoming calm  in the evening.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.
T-storms
Likely then
Slight Chance
Showers
Monday

Monday: A chance of showers, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 10am.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. Calm wind becoming southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Chance
Showers then
T-storms
Likely
Monday
Night
Monday Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 75. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm  in the evening.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Slight Chance
T-storms

Tuesday

Tuesday: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Chance
Showers then
Chance
T-storms
Hi 92 °F Lo 74 °F Hi 90 °F Lo 75 °F Hi 89 °F Lo 75 °F Hi 91 °F Lo 75 °F Hi 92 °F

 

This Afternoon
 
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 5pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. Heat index values as high as 100. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
 
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly clear, with a low around 74. South wind around 5 mph becoming calm.
Saturday
 
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly between 3pm and 5pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 90. Heat index values as high as 100. Calm wind becoming southeast around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Saturday Night
 
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 7pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 75. South wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Sunday
 
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 1pm, then showers and thunderstorms between 1pm and 4pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 4pm. High near 89. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Sunday Night
 
Thunderstorms likely before 7pm, then a slight chance of showers after 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 75. South wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Monday
 
A chance of showers, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 10am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. Calm wind becoming southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Monday Night
 
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 75. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Tuesday
 
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night
 
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms, then a chance of showers after 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 75. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Wednesday
 
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Wednesday Night
 
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 76.
Thursday
 
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 92.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for Carencro LA.

Weather Forecast Discussion
480
FXUS64 KLCH 271654
AFDLCH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
1154 AM CDT Fri Jun 27 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Very typical summer pattern will persist through the forecast
  period with daily afternoon thunderstorms, afternoon highs in
  the low to mid 90s and max heat indices from 98 to 106 degrees.

- Somewhat higher precipitation chances Sunday in response to
  higher tropical moisture surging into the region.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Sunday night)
Issued at 331 AM CDT Fri Jun 27 2025

The typical summertime pattern of very weak gradients both at the
surface and aloft and daily, diurnally driven, afternoon
convection will be the story through much of the next week. The
weak gradient will keep winds at the surface and aloft generally
under 10 knots as was observed on both of yesterday`s RAOBs. These
conditions supported the development of several tropical funnels
and waterspouts along colliding outflow boundaries and rapidly
developing marine storms. Conditions are expected to remain
favorable for tropical funnels and waterspouts through the weekend
and much of next week.

As a reminder, while tropical funnels can sometimes appear
visually impressive, they rarely reach the ground and, when they
do, often produce winds that are much weaker than those of a
traditional tornado as they are not supported by a mesocyclone.
They are also very difficult to observe on radar since their
circulation only extends to the cloud base which may be only a few
hundred feet off the surface. If a reliable report of a tropical
funnel on the ground is received, then a tornado warning will be
issued, but this is very rare.

The only real change in the overall pattern will be Sunday where a
higher surge of mid and upper level tropical moisture will work
inland off the gulf increasing the coverage of afternoon
convection. Even so, these will still be primarily diurnally
driven with the majority of storms dissipating by around sunset
Sunday evening.

Otherwise, highs in the low to mid 90s with heat indices ranging
from 98 to 106 will occur each day with lows falling into the mid
70s each evening.

Jones

.LONG TERM... (Monday
through Friday) Issued at 331 AM CDT Fri Jun 27 2025

The typical summertime pattern continues with very little
variation in day to day temperatures or precipitation chances
which will range from 30-40% across Southeast Texas and western
Louisiana and 50-60% in and around the Atchafalaya basin.

Jones

&&

.LONG TERM... (Monday
through Friday) Issued at 331 AM CDT Fri Jun 27 2025

The typical summertime pattern continues with very little
variation in day to day temperatures or precipitation chances
which will range from 30-40% across Southeast Texas and western
Louisiana and 50-60% in and around the Atchafalaya basin.

Jones

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1151 AM CDT Fri Jun 27 2025

Mostly VFR conditions are anticipated this period, however patchy
MVFR ceilings may occur through mid day as the CU field develops
and as isolated to scattered storms occur this afternoon. Winds
will be light and range from east to south.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 331 AM CDT Fri Jun 27 2025

A surface high off the southeast U.S. coast will continue to
ridge across the northern Gulf and into the coastal through the
weekend into early next week resulting in light onshore flow and
low seas. Daily showers and thunderstorms are expected with little
day to day change.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 331 AM CDT Fri Jun 27 2025

Light southerly winds will maintain low level moisture with minimum
afternoon RH in the low to mid 50s across interior southeast
Texas as well as central Louisiana and in the low to mid 60s
along the I-10 corridor to the coast. Typical summertime
pattern will continue through the weekend with daily afternoon showers
and thunderstorms along with hot, humid days and muggy nights.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  72  93  73  92 /  10  20   0  60
LCH  76  90  76  89 /  10  40  20  90
LFT  74  90  75  89 /  30  60  20  90
BPT  75  90  75  89 /   0  30  10  80

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...66
LONG TERM....66
AVIATION...05
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Forecast Discussion from: NOAA-NWS Script developed by: El Dorado Weather






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