Madisonville, Kentucky 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

646
FXUS63 KPAH 071852
AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
152 PM CDT Sat Jun 7 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- There will be a chance (25-50%) of showers and thunderstorms
  overnight. While widespread severe weather is not expected, a
  few gusty storms with small hail are possible.

- Another chance (40-80%) of showers and thunderstorms is
  forecast Sunday night through Monday afternoon. Again,
  widespread severe weather is not forecast, but a few gusty
  storms will small hail are possible Sunday night and again
  Monday afternoon.

- Dry weather returns Tuesday through Wednesday, with daily
  thunderstorm chances returning Thursday into next week. It is
  too early to say of these storms will pose a severe risk.

- Temperatures will trend from slightly below normal through
  Monday, to near to slightly above normal for the latter half
  of next week. Humidity levels will climb to summertime levels
  as well.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 151 PM CDT Sat Jun 7 2025

Stubborn stationary boundary along the southern KY/MO borders
will finally depart to the east overnight as surface low
pressure over SW MO moves across the region. Ongoing debris
clouds/showers from a Mid-South MCS will wane this evening, but
additional scattered storms will develop overnight as the
surface low passes through the area. These storms should not be
particularly strong due to weak shear, poor lapse rates, and
increasing CIN, but cannot rule out a stray gusty storm or two with
small hail.

The daytime hours Sunday will be dry with a some breaks in the
clouds, but a secondary cold front will move into the region
Sunday night, bringing additional storm chances Sunday night
through Monday. Again, the severe risk Sunday night looks
marginal at best, with only an isolated gusty thunderstorm with
small hail being the main risks. Additional storm development is
possible Monday afternoon across W KY, with the same very small
severe thunderstorm risks.

Following the passage of the secondary cold front, a deep H5
trough will move eastward across the Midwest and Northeast,
bringing a brief lowering of humidity levels and a return of dry
weather Tuesday. However, humidity levels and temperatures will
return to seasonably warm and muggy values on Wednesday, with
slightly above normal temperatures forecast Thursday into the
start of next weekend. Daily peak heat index values in the
lower to middle 90s are forecast during this time as well.

An active SW H5 flow pattern will become centered over the
region beginning Thursday, and a daily chance of showers and
thunderstorms returns to the forecast through at least Saturday.
It is too early to say if any thunderstorms will pose a risk of
producing severe thunderstorm hazards, but lightning and
locally heavy rainfall look likely at times.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 1208 PM CDT Sat Jun 7 2025

Light to moderate rain showers and perhaps a rumble of
thunderstorm from a thunderstorms complex across NW TN will
push across the area this afternoon. Dry weather will follow
overnight into Sunday morning. Periods of MVFR cigs will lift to
VFR with the onset of rain, but vsbys may see brief MVFR
reductions. Addition low VFR to MVFR cigs will develop after the
03-06z Sunday window. Light southerly winds will become W-NW
overnight as a frontal boundary shifts east of the region.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...DWS
AVIATION...DWS