Winfield, Kansas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

414
FXUS63 KICT 230922
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
322 AM CST Sat Nov 23 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Above normal temperatures will continue for today and Sunday.

- Cold front set to move through Monday evening and will provide
  below normal temps for all of next week.

- Light precip chances Wed into Wed night but doesn`t look to
  impact holiday travel.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 322 AM CST Sat Nov 23 2024

Weak upper ridging remains from the Rockies into the Plains
with some shortwave energy coming onshore over the Pacific
Northwest. Meanwhile, the pesky upper low is finally exiting
the Eastern Seaboard. At the surface, lee troughing continues to
strengthen with high pressure situated over the Lower
Mississippi Valley.

Weak upper ridging will continue to slowly track east across the
Plains today into the evening. Shortwave energy will slide
across the Great Basin tonight, across the Rockies on Sunday and
into the Central/Northern Plains on Sun night. In response, cold
front is still expected to slide through Sun evening and will
usher-in below normal temps to start the work week. However,
ahead of the front, confidence remains high in above normal
temps for today and Sunday with most locations in the 60s.

We are still looking for highs in the 40s for Mon and Tue which
will be around 5 to 10 degrees below normal. There remains good
model consistency in our next shortwave tracking across Northern
CA Tue night and the Central Rockies on Wed. Some light precip
is expected to develop Wed into Wed night ahead of the impulse
in an area of mid level theta-e advection. Currently, going
with the thinking that most of the precip will fall as rain with
a slight chance for a mix of light snow Wed night. So at this
time, not looking for this system to provide significant travel
impacts.

As this wave departs across the Ozark region, some colder air
will be pulled down across the Central plains which will keep
well below normal temps in place for Thu and Fri, with most
locations seeing highs in the low 40s.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 1035 PM CST Fri Nov 22 2024

VFR conditions will prevail the next 24 hours. Breezy south
winds will prevail by midday Saturday, as low pressure deepens
over the High Plains, with gusts up to around 20 kts.

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...RBL
AVIATION...ADK