New Albany, Indiana 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
|
NWS Forecast for New Albany IN
National Weather Service Forecast for:
New Albany IN
Issued by: National Weather Service Louisville, KY |
Updated: 1:12 am EST Feb 7, 2025 |
|
Overnight
 Clear
|
Friday
 Increasing Clouds
|
Friday Night
 Showers Likely
|
Saturday
 Rain
|
Saturday Night
 Chance Rain
|
Sunday
 Partly Sunny
|
Sunday Night
 Mostly Cloudy
|
Monday
 Mostly Cloudy then Slight Chance Rain/Snow
|
Monday Night
 Chance Rain/Snow then Rain/Snow Likely
|
Lo 32 °F |
Hi 48 °F |
Lo 37 °F |
Hi 59 °F |
Lo 32 °F |
Hi 43 °F |
Lo 31 °F |
Hi 44 °F |
Lo 32 °F |
|
Overnight
|
Clear, with a low around 32. Calm wind. |
Friday
|
Increasing clouds, with a high near 48. Light and variable wind. |
Friday Night
|
Showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 37. East wind 3 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible. |
Saturday
|
Rain. High near 59. East wind around 6 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible. |
Saturday Night
|
A 40 percent chance of rain before 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 32. Northwest wind around 8 mph. |
Sunday
|
Partly sunny, with a high near 43. |
Sunday Night
|
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 31. |
Monday
|
A slight chance of rain and snow after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 44. Chance of precipitation is 20%. |
Monday Night
|
A chance of rain and snow before 1am, then snow likely. Cloudy, with a low around 32. Chance of precipitation is 70%. |
Tuesday
|
Snow likely, mainly before 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 39. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Tuesday Night
|
A 30 percent chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 27. |
Wednesday
|
A chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 37. Chance of precipitation is 40%. |
Wednesday Night
|
Rain and snow likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 28. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Thursday
|
A slight chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 38. Chance of precipitation is 20%. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for New Albany IN.
|
Weather Forecast Discussion
604
FXUS63 KLMK 070834
AFDLMK
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Louisville KY
334 AM EST Fri Feb 7 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
* Dry and seasonably cool today.
* Widespread rain returns late tonight and continues into Saturday.
A few rumbles of thunder are possible on Saturday.
* Multiple waves of precipitation are expected next week. There is
low confidence in precipitation type, though wintry precipitation
is possible Tuesday and Thursday. Precipitation amounts will lead
to an enhanced potential for flooding mid-to-late next week.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Issued at 328 AM EST Fri Feb 7 2025
Dry and cool today as we remain under progressive zonal flow aloft.
Sfc high pressure will make its way from the Upper Midwest across
the Great Lakes and into the Upper Ohio Valley by late tonight,
maintaining a N-NE flow. An upper impulse kicking across the
southern Plains will support cyclogenesis tonight along the
Kansas/Oklahoma border, allowing the front draped across the
Tennessee Valley to lift northward. Isentropic lift will cause
scattered showers to develop by late evening across south-central
Kentucky, and then expand northward by daybreak Saturday.
Max temps this afternoon will be close to seasonal normals.
Tonight`s lows will likely be realized before midnight, with steady
or slowly rising temps toward Saturday morning.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Issued at 328 AM EST Fri Feb 7 2025
Saturday - Saturday Night...
The setup for Saturday into Saturday night bears some resemblance to
the most recent system which moved across the region Thursday
morning. A subtle upper shortwave will eject across the Plains and
lower Great Lakes, with an area of low pressure developing near the
KS/OK border Saturday morning before moving quickly across the lower
Ohio Valley Saturday afternoon into Saturday night. As the upper
shortwave approaches the area, anomalously strong SW flow is
expected to develop in the low-to-mid levels, with Euro and GEFS
ensemble mean 850 mb flow exceeding 50 kt, which is in the top 2 to
5 percent of model climatology. This will help to lift a stalled out
boundary over the TN Valley through at least the southern half of
the CWA Saturday morning as a warm front, with temperatures surging
from the 30s and 40s north of the warm front to the 60s and low 70s
south of the warm front. Because the exact position of the front is
uncertain, the temperature forecast on Saturday is low confidence,
particularly along and north of I-64.
With strong low-to-mid level flow expected, shear and helicity
parameters would be supportive for strong to severe storms. As an
example, HREF mean 0-1 km storm relative helicity ranges from 200-
300 m2/s2 near the warm front. However, it continues to look more
likely that instability will be insufficient with this system.
First, near-sfc moisture return is not expected to be quite as rich,
with current forecast sfc dewpoints only expected to get right
around 60 degrees within the warm sector. Second, most if not all of
the HREF sounding profiles show a pronounced warm layer around 700
mb, limiting low-mid level lapse rates and instability. While there
should be a pocket of instability/steeper lapse rates above 700 mb,
this shouldn`t manifest as much more than a few rumbles of thunder
and/or maybe some very small hail. With all this being said, we`ll
continue to monitor trends in hi-res guidance, as a modest increase
in instability would increase strong storm potential Saturday
afternoon and evening.
The cold front associated with this system will slide through the
region Saturday evening into Saturday night, sending temperatures
tumbling back into the 20s and 30s by Sunday morning. Precipitation
should come to an end quickly after cold FROPA, with dry weather
expected by Sunday morning.
Sunday - Monday...
The second half of the weekend into Monday should feature a relative
lull in activity across the area. With the mid/upper level flow
pattern remaining fairly zonal in the wake of Saturday`s system, our
area will remain on the southern edge of the cooler/drier air mass
over much of the north central U.S., with the sfc cold front
stalling out over the TN valley on Sunday. As a result, dry weather
is expected in general Sunday into Monday, there is a slight chance
of a shower or two across far southern KY, particularly Sunday night
into Monday. Temperatures will be closer to seasonal norms during
this period, with highs generally in the 40s and lows in the 20s/30s.
Mid to Late Next Week...
As we head into the early-to-mid part of next week, split upper
level flow will develop across the western U.S., with a trough in
the southern stream digging across the southwest U.S. and northern
Mexico. As is typical in this type of setup, multiple chances for
precipitation are expected next week until the main trough ejects
out late next week. While there will be moderately strong sfc high
pressure over the northern Plains providing cold low-level flow,
temperatures will still be marginal for wintry precipitation types,
increasing uncertainty in the forecast and impacts.
The first system expected to impact the area will move through
Monday night into Tuesday, as moisture rides up and over the stalled
out front still over the TN valley. Ensemble indices like the ECMWF
Extreme Forecast Index only show a very modest signal in anomalous
snowfall, with a swath of EFI around 0.5 north of I-64 suggesting
moderate confidence in anomalous snowfall. While both the GEFS and
Euro ensemble suites show medium probabilities of greater than 1"
accumulated snowfall over portions of the area Tuesday, the Euro is
about 50-100 miles north of the GEFS, with the greatest
probabilities across southern and central IN. The highest
probabilities for snowfall in the GEFS is along the WK/BG Parkways.
Regardless, there is still quite a bit of uncertainty with the track
of this system as well as the potency of the cold air mass to our
north.
After a lull in precipitation Tuesday Night into Wednesday, the
second system next week is expected to move through Wednesday night
into Thursday, with this system associated with the main trough over
the southwest U.S. ejecting across the country. As a result, this
system should be more amplified, bringing heavier QPF along with it.
More amplified height rises ahead of the system will also mean an
antecedent air mass which is less supportive for wintry p-types,
with greater likelihood that this system ends up as mostly rain for
much of the area. However, additional chances for wintry
precipitation would be possible as the precipitation is ending and
cold air rushes in behind, though confidence in this is low.
Regardless of what the precipitation type is next week, the amount
of precipitation causes some concern for area stream levels,
especially considering ongoing minor flooding in some basins. After
the ongoing flooding subsides, probabilistic streamflow guidance
suggests greater than 70% chances of exceeding minor flooding along
the Green River next week, with between 25-50% chances along the
Licking and Rolling Fork Rivers. While lesser chances exist along
the Kentucky, Ohio and the southern Indiana rivers, the potential
for flooding will continued to be monitored as the forecast evolves
over the next several days.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 1235 AM EST Fri Feb 7 2025
VFR conditions are expected through the valid TAF period. Clouds
have scattered out and a NW-SE oriented sfc ridge separates light
west winds at SDF and LEX from light north winds at BWG. Look for
winds to come around to north at SDF and LEX by mid/late morning as
the parent high builds into the Great Lakes, with continued veering
to NE through the day.
Moisture return ahead of the next system will bring a mid-level
ceiling in from SW to NE on Friday afternoon, with a gradual
lowering Friday night. Precip should hold off until after the 24-hr
BWG and LEX TAFs, but could come into play late in the SDF planning
period. At this time arrival looks late enough that we`ll leave it
out with this issuance, and just show a continued lowering of
ceilings after midnight Fri night.
Widespread rain and low cig/vis during the day Saturday as the warm
front moves into Kentucky.
&&
.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...None.
IN...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...RAS
LONG TERM...CSG
AVIATION...RAS
View a Different U.S. Forecast Discussion Location
(In alphabetical order by state)
|
|
|
|