Tallahassee, Florida 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

748
FXUS62 KTAE 071713
AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
113 PM EDT Mon Jul 7 2025

...New AVIATION...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 954 AM EDT Mon Jul 7 2025

No changes to the forecast were made this morning. An active start
over the marine zones and southerly upper level flow has sent
anvil cloud debris across our Panhandle counties this morning.
While this could delay the start of storms there for a few hours,
plenty of instability will redevelop as the sunshine begins to
warm conditions up so have left the rain chances in place across
these areas.

&&

.NEAR TERM THROUGH LONG TERM...
(Today through Sunday)
Issued at 228 AM EDT Mon Jul 7 2025

Fairly weak flow aloft with a ridge anchored across the western
Atlantic will lead to fairly routine and diurnally-driven weather
throughout the whole forecast period. Low-level west to
southwesterly flow will prevail allowing the atmospheric column to
moisten throughout the week. The sea breeze and its associated
convective activity should be able to push further inland with
each passing day as moisture increases. Thursday into Friday a
couple subtle shortwaves quickly move across eastern CONUS, from
the central Plains towards the Mid-Atlantic. These subtle
perturbations could act as additional forcing for ascent, leading
to widespread showers and storms further inland, primarily across
SE Alabama and SW Georgia. Ridging then builds back in over the
region heading into the weekend.

Expect daytime highs generally in the low to mid 90s with overnight
lows generally in the mid 70s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 105 PM EDT Mon Jul 7 2025

Outside widely scattered showers/storms through 00z this evening,
VFR conditions will prevail. Only restrictions would come from
brief MVFR/IFR visibilities in heavy showers/thunderstorms. Most
activity will only affect a terminal for an hour or two. Patchy
fog can`t be ruled out tomorrow morning from 09-13z but have not
mentioned in most TAFs due to low confidence. Light variable winds
becoming light and out of the west on Tuesday.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 228 AM EDT Mon Jul 7 2025

Subtropical high pressure will gradually continue to build into the
coastal waters over the next several days. Expect west to southwest
winds around 5 to 10 knots, maximizing near the coast during the
afternoon and evenings with the daily sea breeze. Showers and
thunderstorms will be most common during the overnight and early
morning hours over the waters.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 228 AM EDT Mon Jul 7 2025

Low level flow will turn southwesterly beginning Monday as the
remnants of Chantal move further away from the region and high
pressure ridging builds through the southeast United States. This
will allow increasing moisture throughout the Tri-State region and a
return to more summertime conditions. Meaning, highs in the 90s each
day, heat indices pushing the low to mid 100s in spots, and
increasing chances for late morning through mid evening
thunderstorms. Dispersions and transport winds appear favorable over
the next few days.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 228 AM EDT Mon Jul 7 2025

Over the next week, diurnally driven showers and thunderstorms are
expected each afternoon and evening. These will be typical of the
summer wet season, riverine flooding is not expected.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Tallahassee   74  93  75  92 /  10  60  20  70
Panama City   78  91  78  91 /  10  40  20  60
Dothan        74  94  74  94 /  10  40  10  60
Albany        75  95  75  93 /  10  50  20  60
Valdosta      74  95  75  94 /  10  60  30  70
Cross City    74  91  73  91 /  10  60  20  70
Apalachicola  78  89  77  88 /  10  40  20  60

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...Oliver
SHORT TERM...Oliver
LONG TERM....Oliver
AVIATION...Dobbs
MARINE...Oliver
FIRE WEATHER...Oliver
HYDROLOGY...Oliver