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North Port, Florida 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
NWS Forecast for 2 Miles ESE Warm Mineral Springs FL
National Weather Service Forecast for: 2 Miles ESE Warm Mineral Springs FL
Issued by: National Weather Service Tampa Bay, FL
Updated: 12:07 pm EDT Jul 6, 2025
 
This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: Scattered showers and thunderstorms.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 89. Southwest wind 10 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Scattered
T-storms

Tonight

Tonight: Isolated showers and thunderstorms before 11pm.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 77. South southwest wind 5 to 8 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Isolated
T-storms then
Partly Cloudy
Monday

Monday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly between 2pm and 5pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. Heat index values as high as 99. West southwest wind 5 to 9 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Scattered
T-storms

Monday
Night
Monday Night: Isolated showers and thunderstorms before 8pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 76. West southwest wind around 6 mph becoming calm  in the evening.  Chance of precipitation is 10%.
Isolated
T-storms then
Mostly Cloudy
Tuesday

Tuesday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 92. Calm wind becoming west northwest around 6 mph in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Scattered
T-storms

Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Scattered showers and thunderstorms before 2am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 74. Northwest wind around 6 mph becoming calm  in the evening.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Scattered
T-storms

Wednesday

Wednesday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms between 8am and 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. Calm wind becoming east around 5 mph in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Scattered
T-storms then
Showers
Likely
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then scattered showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 2am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 75. Light and variable wind.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Showers
Likely then
Scattered
T-storms
Thursday

Thursday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms between 8am and 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. Light and variable wind becoming south southwest around 6 mph in the morning.  Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Scattered
T-storms then
Showers
Likely
Hi 89 °F Lo 77 °F Hi 91 °F Lo 76 °F Hi 92 °F Lo 74 °F Hi 92 °F Lo 75 °F Hi 91 °F

 

This Afternoon
 
Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 89. Southwest wind 10 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
 
Isolated showers and thunderstorms before 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 77. South southwest wind 5 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Monday
 
Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly between 2pm and 5pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. Heat index values as high as 99. West southwest wind 5 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Monday Night
 
Isolated showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 76. West southwest wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 10%.
Tuesday
 
Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 92. Calm wind becoming west northwest around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Tuesday Night
 
Scattered showers and thunderstorms before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 74. Northwest wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Wednesday
 
Scattered showers and thunderstorms between 8am and 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. Calm wind becoming east around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Wednesday Night
 
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then scattered showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 75. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Thursday
 
Scattered showers and thunderstorms between 8am and 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. Light and variable wind becoming south southwest around 6 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Thursday Night
 
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly between 8pm and 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 74. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Friday
 
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly sunny, with a high near 90. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Friday Night
 
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 75. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Saturday
 
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly sunny, with a high near 91. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for 2 Miles ESE Warm Mineral Springs FL.

Weather Forecast Discussion
479
FXUS62 KTBW 061753
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
153 PM EDT Sun Jul 6 2025

.DISCUSSION...
The upper low has moved further west into the Gulf today while TD
Chantal and remnants move through the Carolinas with the local
area between these features. The latest surface analysis continues
to indicate a weak boundary remains stretched across the I-4
corridor with generally light-moderate SW flow over the Peninsula.
Most of the area is fairly rain free early this afternoon since
earlier outflows pushed well inland much sooner than typical Gulf
seabreeze. But, the area remains in a very moist airmass and
unstable environment during additional diurnal heating, so expect
additional WNW moving showers and thunderstorms through the late
afternoon and evening hours. Then with typical regime 5 expected
E Gulf convection to redevelop overnight as the warm and humid
conditions continue.

SW flow through Monday before transitioning to more typical summertime
pattern as the Bermuda high pressure ridge axis builds back over
and meanders over the FL Peninsula mid-late week and into next
weekend with afternoon and evening thunderstorm patterns and warm
near normal temps.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
A moist and unstable WSW flow continues to support convection
developing at really anytime over the next day, necessitating long
periods of VCSH/VCTS. For the most part, this should be more
showers rather than TSTMs at the coast; but there will be daytime
windows where thunderstorms remain possible everywhere. A break in
most convection is likely this evening before the potential
increases again towards morning. By tomorrow afternoon, the best
potential will shift inland, with lower confidence in impacts at
coastal terminals.

&&

.MARINE...
Southwesterly flow will continue through Monday then weak high
pressure will build over the Central Gulf with generally light
winds and slight seas through the week. Expect daily summertime
showers and storms to produce brief gusty winds that will increase
choppy seas in and near convection.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Warm and humid summertime conditions will continue through the
week with seabreezes along with scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms each day.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  79  91  79  91 /  20  30  10  30
FMY  78  93  77  93 /  10  50  10  60
GIF  76  92  76  93 /  20  50  10  50
SRQ  78  90  77  91 /  20  30  10  30
BKV  73  91  73  91 /  20  40   0  40
SPG  79  88  78  88 /  20  30  10  30

&&

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Sunday: 5
Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Monday: 5

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to:
     https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

Davis/Flannery
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Forecast Discussion from: NOAA-NWS Script developed by: El Dorado Weather






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