Gainesville, Florida 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

450
FXUS62 KJAX 071753
AFDJAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
153 PM EDT Sat Jun 7 2025

...New AVIATION...

.NEAR TERM...
(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 248 AM EDT Sat Jun 7 2025

For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit:
https://www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf

Westerly steering flow will continue to keep convection suppressed
below normal levels with just scattered showers and storms
expected today as the East Coast sea breeze will remain pinned
close to the coast. This will lead to Hot and Humid conditions
with highs in the lower to middle 90s, while the westerly flow
will push the heat all the way to the beaches with peak heat
indices around 105F this afternoon. The faster westerly flow will
still lead to isolated strong to severe storms with damaging winds
the main threat, especially across SE GA during the afternoon and
evening hours. Above normal temps will continue tonight with lows
only falling into the lower/middle 70s inland and upper 70s along
the Atlantic Coast.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Sunday through Monday night)
Issued at 248 AM EDT Sat Jun 7 2025

High surface pressure over the area Sunday and Monday will bring
winds out of the southwest, helping to pull in moisture in from
the Gulf and aid the Gulf coast seabreeze to make its way well
inland. This moisture coupled with diurnal heating and seabreeze
convergence will create unstable conditions and help drive
afternoon convection. The Storm Prediction Center has southeast
Georgia under a slight risk (2 out of 5) for severe storms Sunday
as shortwaves are expected to move through the area, allowing for
the development of stronger storms. The main concerns with these
stronger storms will be gusty winds, frequent lightning and
locally heavy rainfall. High daytime temperatures will be in the
low to mid 90s over northeast Florida and in the upper 80s to low
90s over southeast Georgia. Overnight lows will dip into the low
to mid 70s. Early morning patchy fog will be possible in areas
that received rain each morning.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through Friday)
Issued at 248 AM EDT Sat Jun 7 2025

High pressure and moisture from the Gulf continues into the long
term, helping to keep the wet weather pattern going. Seabreeze
convergence and diurnal heating will be the main driver for
afternoon convection. Some stronger storms will be possible as
upper level shortwaves move across the area. Daytime high
temperatures will be above seasonal average at the start of the
week and cool to near normal by mid week as winds begin to shift
from the southwest to south to southeast. Daytime highs are
expected to be in the upper 80s to low 90s over southeast Georgia
and low to mid 90s over northeast Florida with overnight lows in
the upper 60s to low 70s at inland locations with areas along the
coast staying slightly warmer.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 147 PM EDT Sat Jun 7 2025

Scattered showers and storms will pass through the region this
afternoon with VCSH and VCTS for most sites through the evening,
with a second bout of convection expected in the evening and
overnight hours. Southwesterly wind flow will act to keep the east
coast sea breeze pinned close to the shoreline with winds becoming
more mild and variable overnight and then rebuilding from the SW
on Sunday. Potential for reported obscurations and lower ceilings
at Cecil near the latter portion of the forecasted period by
Sunday morning.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 248 AM EDT Sat Jun 7 2025

Atlantic high pressure will continue to extend its axis westward
across the Florida peninsula through early next week, with this
feature maintaining a prevailing offshore wind flow across our
local waters. Showers and thunderstorms will develop inland early
each afternoon and will progress eastward across our local waters
during the mid to late afternoon hours each day. Strong to severe
storms will be possible late in the afternoon hours on Sunday and
Monday, especially across the Georgia waters. Stronger storms will
be capable of producing briefly strong wind gusts, frequent
lightning strikes and torrential downpours. A frontal boundary
will stall to the northwest of our area towards midweek, with
Atlantic high pressure then expected to lift northward late next
week.

Rip Currents: Low Risk this weekend in the offshore flow and weak
sea breeze along the coast with surf/breakers of 1-2 ft.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  73  90  72  89 /  30  80  50  80
SSI  77  92  75  89 /  30  70  50  80
JAX  75  94  74  94 /  30  70  40  70
SGJ  75  94  74  94 /  20  70  30  70
GNV  74  94  73  94 /  10  60  20  60
OCF  73  92  73  92 /  10  60  10  60

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$