Brandon, Florida 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

657
FXUS62 KTBW 071745
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
145 PM EDT Mon Jul 7 2025

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 135 PM EDT Mon Jul 7 2025

Ridging continues to sit to our south giving us our southwesterly
flow. This will result in onshore flow continuing with morning
showers along the coast that will move inland in the afternoon and
eventually head to the east coast in the evening. This will continue
for our Tuesday.

By Wednesday the ridge looks to lift slightly north and stall
overhead. This will give us a neutral flow regime. In this regime
we typically see the highest concentration of storms along the
west coast in the late afternoon and evening. The main hazard with
this regime is the light flow will cause storms to be very slow
moving which could result in some localized flooding each day.
This pattern looks to stay in place at least through the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 135 PM EDT Mon Jul 7 2025

Southwesterly flow will keep most of the shower activity away
from the west coast this afternoon and evening. Because of this I
have taken VCTS out of PIE, TPA and SRQ. Winds will remain out of
the south and southwest today at or below 10 knots outside of
thunderstorms.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 135 PM EDT Mon Jul 7 2025

Ridging to our south will continue our SW flow through
Tuesday with speeds around 5 to 10 knots. We will also continue
to see our overnight and early morning shower activity over the
water. Ridging will shift north on Wednesday and stall overnight.
This will give us a light and variable flow with winds around 5
knots through the rest of the week. &&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 135 PM EDT Mon Jul 7 2025

Summertime convection and humidity will keep fire danger at a
minimum.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  91  79  91  79 /  30  10  30  20
FMY  93  77  93  76 /  50  20  50  30
GIF  93  76  93  76 /  50  10  50  20
SRQ  90  78  90  76 /  30  10  30  20
BKV  90  73  92  73 /  30  10  40  20
SPG  87  80  90  78 /  30  10  30  20

&&

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Monday: 5
Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Tuesday: 4

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to:
     https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Shiveley
DECISION SUPPORT...Pearce
UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...Pearce