Alafaya, Florida 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

645
FXUS62 KMLB 231924
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
224 PM EST Sat Nov 23 2024

...New KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 224 PM EST Sat Nov 23 2024

- Below normal temperatures linger through tonight, with a gradual
  warming trend forecast Sunday and into next week.

- Remaining dry over the next several days, with fire sensitive
  conditions remaining in place through Sunday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 224 PM EST Sat Nov 23 2024

Current-Sunday...Sunny skies this afternoon with temperatures
observed in the 60s. Temperatures quickly fall into the 50s after
sunset further cooling into the low to mid 40s across much of the
area by early tomorrow morning. A few degrees warmer overnight
across southern St Lucie and Martin counties. Winds become light and
variable through the period as surface high pressure slides eastward
across the state. Afternoon temperatures begin a warming trend
tomorrow climbing into the low to mid 70s. Sunny skies and dry
conditions persist.

Mon-Sat (previous)...Mainly zonal flow aloft continues through much
of the upcoming week. Weak high pressure a mainstay across the area,
though a weak front is forecast to push into north FL mid-week and
becomes diffuse. The next formidable front may not cross into
central FL until around Fri afternoon-Fri night. We continue to keep
conditions dry thru the period. The warming trend started on Sun
will continue with U70s to around 80F (M70s Volusia coast Mon) for
Mon-Wed and L80s on Thanksgiving Day. Temps may then drop again
slightly into Fri depending on timing of frontal passage. Mins in
the 50s for much of the interior with some L60s gradually returning
E of I-95 and possibly M-U60s by Thu morning for immediate St.
Lucie/Martin counties. Generally light winds thru the period.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 224 PM EST Sat Nov 23 2024

Tonight-Wednesday...Favorable boating conditions are forecast
through the period. Seas of 3-5 ft offshore tonight will continue to
subside becoming widely 1-2 ft by Sunday night. Weak surface high
pressure will promote light and variable winds across the waters
each day. Dry conditions persist.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFs)
Issued at 1153 AM EST Sat Nov 23 2024

Will persist with a VFR forecast (SKC) and good flying conditions
as dry air and high pressure dominate. NW winds 5-15 KT become
light and variable overnight into Sunday. A light NE`erly sea
breeze may develop for MLB-VRB-FPR-SUA around or just after
24/18Z (tail-end of this TAF pkg).

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 224 PM EST Sat Nov 23 2024

Surface high pressure remains in control promoting sensitive fire
conditions. RH values have been observed to range 30-40% across east
central Florida this afternoon. Near critical RH (~35%) is forecast
along and north of the I-4 corridor again on Sunday with values
gradually recovering into mid week. Light and variable winds develop
tonight, persisting through early next week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  43  73  51  77 /   0   0   0   0
MCO  46  74  54  78 /   0   0   0   0
MLB  46  74  55  78 /   0   0   0   0
VRB  46  75  57  78 /   0   0   0   0
LEE  45  73  50  78 /   0   0   0   0
SFB  45  74  51  78 /   0   0   0   0
ORL  47  75  54  80 /   0   0   0   0
FPR  43  75  55  78 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Law
AVIATION...Heil