Montrose, Colorado 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

311
FXUS65 KGJT 111130
AFDGJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
530 AM MDT Fri Apr 11 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Record warm temperatures move in today and again for Saturday.

- Widespread wind gusts of 25 to 35 mph, if not higher, move in
  Saturday across much of the area. These winds, along with low
  humidities, may create hazardous fire weather conditions if
  fuels are deemed critical.

- A cold front moves through on Sunday bringing light
  precipitation chances to the northern and central Divide
  mountains. No impacts expected.

- Temperatures remain above normal through the seven-day
  forecast.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Issued at 157 AM MDT Fri Apr 11 2025

The ridge axis will be overhead today across the CWA bringing
another day of sunny skies and well above normal temperatures.
Southwesterly flow will continue to usher in warm air causing
high temperature to reach 15 to 20 degrees above the usual mid
April values. Some records may be broken this afternoon with
these temperatures. Some gusty winds will also materialize over
the northern valleys reaching around 25 mph in the afternoon.
Dry air remains in place so critical fire weather conditions are
likely for the northern valleys. However, as fuels have not been
deemed critical, will not issue any fire weather products with
this morning`s package.

On Saturday, an approaching upper level trough will be just on
our doorstep as clouds increase during the afternoon hours. The
pressure gradient will also tighten while a jet streak will set
up across much of the CWA. Deeper mixing and the tightening
gradient will allow widespread gusty winds of 25 to 35 mph to
form in the afternoon...maybe a bit higher at times. Low
humidities will remain in place so widespread critical fire
weather conditions are expected again. As previously noted, we
have received no reports of critical fuels across the CWA so no
fire weather products will be issued.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Issued at 157 AM MDT Fri Apr 11 2025

The upper level trough and a surface cold front will move
through during the day Sunday. Limited available moisture will
keep precipitation light across the northern and central
mountains as the front moves through. Despite the front, the
Four Corners region will continue to experience hot, dry, and
windy conditions with near-critical to critical fire weather
concerns. Afternoon highs Sunday will drop but still remain
about 5 to 10 degrees above average for both Sunday and Monday.

Another ridge builds in for much of next week leading to daily high
temperatures 10 to 20 degrees above normal through at least
Thursday. Periods of moisture advection from the southwest are
possible during this timeframe leading to period precipitation
chances for the Four Corners region. Moisture differences between
the ensemble families makes discerning the details hard at this time
but expect more updates heading into the new week.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 529 AM MDT Fri Apr 11 2025

A few high clouds will move overhead after 21Z. Until then,
mostly sunny skies with light winds are expected. The occasional
higher wind gust can`t be ruled out especially for the northern
valleys. VFR conditions remain in place.

&&

.GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

CO...None.
UT...None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...TGR
LONG TERM...TGJT
AVIATION...TGJT