Birmingham, Alabama 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

613
FXUS64 KBMX 170848
AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
348 AM CDT Thu Apr 17 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Friday)
Issued at 347 AM CDT THU APR 17 2025

Warming trend begins in earnest across central Alabama today, as
upper level heights increase with the building 500mb ridge. Low
level flow will come around to the southeast and south, as the
surface high center slips off to our east. This will start to tap
into some Gulf moisture, but not nearly enough to bring any POPs
into the forecast through the end of the work week.

/61/

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 347 AM CDT THU APR 17 2025

A warm weekend is in store for Central Alabama, with highs in the
mid-80s Saturday and Sunday across most areas. Cloud cover will
increase Saturday ahead of an approaching weather system, with
southerly surface flow offering breezy conditions through the
weekend. Meanwhile, a trough over the Intermountain West will eject
northeastward from Oklahoma to the Great Lakes, along with an
associated surface low that will be in the vicinity of Wisconsin by
Monday morning. The GFS has come more in line with the ECMWF, which
will improve forecast confidence during the early part of next week.
Rain and thunderstorm chances are expected to increase in Central
Alabama beginning Sunday afternoon and evening as a cold front tries
to work into the region. By Monday morning, chances for rain and
thunderstorms will overspread the entire area. As the boundary
stalls out across the area, passing shortwaves will keep rain
chances elevated throughout the week. At this time, no appreciable
severe threat area exists, but this time of year would urge keeping
a close eye on each disturbance as next week comes closer into
range.

12

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1228 AM CDT THU APR 17 2025

Virtually clear skies (maybe a few high level clouds at times)
over the next 24 hours, with winds at or below 10 kts. VFR
conditions to continue.

/61/

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Some high clouds will move over the area on Thursday with a
developing southerly wind at 5-10 mph. Min RH values will dip to
near 20-30 percent across the area. For Friday, expect RH values of
25-35 percent with winds increasing from the south up to 10-12 mph.
Saturday min RH values will be slightly higher at 30-40 percent. Dry
conditions are expected through at least Sunday afternoon across the
forecast area.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     79  51  84  57 /   0   0   0   0
Anniston    79  53  84  58 /   0   0   0   0
Birmingham  80  56  85  61 /   0   0   0   0
Tuscaloosa  81  56  85  63 /   0   0   0   0
Calera      79  55  83  60 /   0   0   0   0
Auburn      78  54  82  58 /   0   0   0   0
Montgomery  81  52  86  58 /   0   0   0   0
Troy        81  51  85  57 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM.../61/
LONG TERM....12
AVIATION.../61/