U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL FNUS22 KWNS 210551 Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1151 PM CST Wed Nov 20 2024 Valid 221200Z - 231200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... A similar upper-level pattern to Thursday will again be present on Friday. The strong upper low will continue east and a complex surface low evolution will occur off the Mid-Atlantic/New England coast. Fire weather conditions are expected to be minimal for most areas. Northern into central Florida will again be dry. Temperature will be a bit cooler and RH will be a bit higher. Boundary layer mixing will also be less than Thursday, tempering gust potential. With the strongest winds/lowest RH expected over less receptive fuels, highlights will be withheld. Locally elevated conditions can be expected. ..Wendt.. 11/21/2024
U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 202057 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0257 PM CST Wed Nov 20 2024 Valid 221200Z - 281200Z Fire weather concerns remain limited through the extended period. Medium and long-range ensemble guidance continues to depict a synoptic regime unfavorable for widespread fire weather potential through at least early next week. The upper trough currently over the upper MS River valley is expected to gradually shift east over the next few days and will support somewhat widespread precipitation chances across the Great Lakes, Ohio River Valley, and Northeast. An amplification of the upper trough across the inter-mountain West and Plains through the weekend will promote dry, but relatively benign conditions across the Southwest/Rockies. The development of a lee cyclone along the northern High Plains on D4/Saturday may support a dry return flow regime across the southern Plains, but recent rainfall will likely limit fuel status. Ensemble cluster analyses suggest a breakdown of the upper ridge is likely by early next week with the potential for one or more upper waves migrating across the Southwest/southern High Plains during the D6/Monday to D8/Wednesday time period. While no strong signals are noted in recent ensemble and deterministic solutions, these waves could present opportunities for fire weather concerns across parts of the western Plains where little rainfall is expected through the middle of next week. ..Moore.. 11/20/2024
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