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U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 051602

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1102 AM CDT Sat Jul 05 2025

   Valid 051700Z - 061200Z

   ...Update...
   The latest high resolution model guidance suggests wind speeds may
   be slightly higher just outside the bounds of the Elevated area.
   Therefore, a slight modification was made to extend it east and
   southward. Otherwise, the forecast remains unchanged for today.
   Please see the previous discussion for additional details.

   ..Barnes.. 07/05/2025

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0129 AM CDT Sat Jul 05 2025/

   ...Synopsis...
   A mid-level ridge will continue to build across the southern Rockies
   through the day. A weak 700 mb jet around the northwestern periphery
   of the ridge is expected to mix downward amid strong surface heating
   and provide a focus for fire weather concerns across portions of the
   Great Basin. Winds may gust to 20-25 mph with 5-15% RH during the
   afternoon. Therefore, an Elevated highlight has been maintained
   across portions of southeastern Nevada and southwestern Utah where
   these atmospheric conditions overlap with dry fuels that have not
   received wetting rain recently.
      

U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 050629

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0129 AM CDT Sat Jul 05 2025

   Valid 061200Z - 071200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   ...Synopsis...
   A belt of modest flow across will be in place across the northern
   states during the day on Sunday with a weak cutoff low off the coast
   of California and a ridge across much of the southwestern CONUS.
   Some of the mid-level flow around the periphery of the cutoff low
   may mix down to the surface across portions of the Great Basin
   during the afternoon amid low RH. However, given a lack of strong
   flow throughout the column across the region, any Elevated fire
   weather conditions are expected to be localized and transient.
   Therefore, no highlights have been added at this time.

   ..Supinie.. 07/05/2025


U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 042122

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0422 PM CDT Fri Jul 04 2025

   Valid 061200Z - 121200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   By Day 3/Sunday, the mid-level shortwave trough responsible for
   ongoing thunderstorms across the northern Rockies will move into the
   northern Great Plains. Quasi-zonal flow is expected over the rest of
   the northern CONUS, while subtropical ridging impacts the Southern
   Plains and Southwest. Farther west off the central CA coastline, a
   mid to upper-level cyclone is anticipated to meander near this
   region for a couple of days and then slowly progress
   north-northeastward towards northern CA by Day5/Tuesday.

   ...Day 5/Tuesday...
   Increasing mid to low-level flow is expected to develop Day
   5/Tuesday over the Great Basin region as the height gradient
   tightens in association with the approaching CA cyclone. Very warm
   and dry atmospheric profiles are expected for several days preceding
   this feature, which will aid in even more receptive fuels being
   available by this time. Extended ensemble model guidance and high
   confidence in a deeply mixed boundary layer suggest there is now
   enough evidence to introduce low critical probabilities for breezy
   winds and low RH across eastern NV and western UT Day 5/Tuesday.

   ..Barnes.. 07/04/2025
      




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