ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 101753

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1253 PM CDT Thu Jul 10 2025

   Valid 111200Z - 121200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   An isolated dry thunderstorm delineation was added to portions of
   western Colorado for tomorrow (Friday). Thunderstorms should develop
   over the higher terrain as upper-support glances the region from the
   north. The storms should be initially dry before transitioning to a
   more wet phase as they advance toward the central High Plains, where
   greater moisture/buoyancy will be present. Fuels are dry across
   western Colorado, with ERCs exceeding critically dry thresholds, and
   fuel moisture dipping into the single digits amid a severe drought
   and more than a month without appreciable rainfall. As such, any
   thunderstorms developing over the drier fuel beds will have
   considerable ignition potential, warranting the introduction of
   isolated dry thunderstorm highlights.

   ..Squitieri.. 07/10/2025

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1057 PM CDT Wed Jul 09 2025/

   ...Synopsis...
   A large-scale ridge will build over the western CONUS on Friday,
   resulting in a warming trend and lighter surface winds. Outside of
   terrain-favored areas, this will generally limit fire-weather
   concerns regionally compared to previous days.

      

   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 101933

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0233 PM CDT Thu Jul 10 2025

   Valid 121200Z - 181200Z

   Upper ridging will develop across the western CONUS through the
   weekend, before a mid-level trough traverses the Pacific Northwest
   and northern Rockies by early next week. Thereafter, upper ridging
   will briefly set in during the middle of next week before another
   mid-level trough impinges on the Northwest before next weekend. The
   net result will be a warming and drying trend across much of the
   Interior West into the Pacific Northwest, which will augment the
   curing of fuels. 

   The passage of the first mid-level trough will provide enough upper
   support to induce dry/windy conditions across portions of the
   Cascades on Day 4 (Sunday), and then farther east over the Snake
   River Plain Days 5-6 (Monday-Tuesday), where 40 percent Critical
   probabilities have been introduced. Isolated dry thunderstorms could
   occur across portions of the Pacific Northwest into the northern and
   central Rockies early next week, but the specifics of timing and
   coverage (given model differences) are too unclear to warrant dry
   thunderstorm probabilities at this time. Furthermore, considerable
   spread exists among medium-range guidance in the placement and
   timing of the next mid-level trough late next week. Given these
   uncertainties, probabilities for dry/windy conditions and dry
   thunderstorms have been withheld.

   ..Squitieri.. 07/10/2025