ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 232000

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0200 PM CST Thu Jan 23 2025

   Valid 241200Z - 251200Z

   An Elevated area was added over portions of western North TX into
   southwest OK. Here, guidance is in good agreement, depicting 15-25
   mph sustained southwesterly surface winds (with higher gusts) amid
   15-20 percent RH. While fuels are somewhat marginal across much of
   the area, the latest fuels report suggests that they are at least
   modestly supportive of a large fire -- warranting the highlights.
   Dry/breezy conditions are also expected farther northwest into the
   TX Panhandle, though fuels appear less receptive here. For
   additional details, see the previous discussion below.

   ..Weinman.. 01/23/2025

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0144 AM CST Thu Jan 23 2025/

   ...Synopsis...
   A surface pressure gradient should be diffusing across southern
   California as a mid-level trough amplifies along the West Coast,
   encouraging surface low development with onshore flow by late
   tomorrow (Friday) afternoon. Since some dry offshore flow may be
   ongoing at the start of the period (12Z Friday) though, Elevated
   highlights were introduced given lingering very dry air (10-15
   percent RH) and highly receptive fuels.

   Meanwhile, the deepening of the West Coast upper trough will also
   support strong surface lee troughing and associated downslope flow
   across the southern High Plains Friday afternoon. Guidance consensus
   shows RH dipping into the 10-20 percent range by afternoon peak
   heating, with sustained southwesterly surface winds exceeding 20 mph
   on a widespread basis. While such conditions would typically
   necessitate fire weather highlights, fuel receptiveness currently
   appears too marginal to support widespread, significant
   wildfire-spread potential.

      

   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 232150

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0350 PM CST Thu Jan 23 2025

   Valid 251200Z - 311200Z

   On Day 3/Saturday, west-southwesterly deep-layer flow will gradually
   strengthen across the Southwest, southern Great Basin, and inland
   southern CA ahead of a midlevel trough. As a result, dry/breezy
   conditions will develop across the region, with locally elevated
   fire-weather conditions possible -- especially across portions of
   southern/central AZ and the inland mountains of southern CA. By Day
   3/Saturday evening/night, precipitation will likely overspread much
   of southern CA and persist through the weekend. This should reduce
   fire-weather concerns through the remainder of the extended forecast
   period.  

   From Day 4/Sunday through Day 6/Tuesday, locally dry/breezy
   conditions will be possible across the Southwest into the southern
   Rockies each afternoon, as the midlevel trough/low (and strong flow
   aloft) continues slowly east-southeastward. Similar conditions will
   be possible across the southern High Plains on Days
   7-8/Wednesday-Thursday. This may favor periods of elevated
   fire-weather conditions, though mostly marginal fuels should limit
   the potential for critical conditions.

   ..Weinman.. 01/23/2025