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U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 130434

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1134 PM CDT Sat Jul 12 2025

   Valid 131200Z - 141200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   A mid-level wave will begin to traverse the northern periphery of
   the western ridge today, bringing an increase in westerly flow
   across the Cascades in central Washington and northern Oregon.
   Elevated fire weather conditions will be likely across the Cascade
   Gaps and into the Columbia Basin, where relative humidity reductions
   around 20 percent will overlap winds sustained 10-15 mph (locally
   higher). An Elevated was maintained with this outlook to support
   potential for increased fire spread potential.

   ...Dry Thunderstorms...
   A mix of wet/dry thunderstorms will be possible in Northern Arizona
   today. Moisture banked across the Mogollon Rim becomes less with
   northern extent, where PWs drop to around 0.25-0.50". Storm motions
   will be around 10-20 mph, but coverage should allow multiple rounds
   of storms. However, outside of heavier cores and where less coverage
   is expected across the western rim, there could be a few instances
   of dry lightning. Overall, the small coverage of this risk does not
   warrant inclusion of an area at this time.

   ..Thornton.. 07/13/2025
      

U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 130435

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1135 PM CDT Sat Jul 12 2025

   Valid 141200Z - 151200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   Winds across the Pacific Northwest will increase again on D2/Monday
   as a belt of enhanced mid-level westerlies moves out of British
   Columbia along with a south-southeastward moving cold front.
   Elevated fire weather concerns will continue across the Cascades
   into the Columbia River Basin and further east in the Snake River
   Plain in Idaho. Winds around 15-20 mph will overlap relative
   humidity reductions to around 15-20 percent in these regions. A few
   hours of locally Critical conditions will be possible across the
   Snake River Plain, however, limited coverage precludes introduction
   of a Critical area.

   ..Thornton.. 07/13/2025


U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 122159

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0459 PM CDT Sat Jul 12 2025

   Valid 141200Z - 201200Z

   ...Days 3-5/Monday-Wednesday...
   A mid-level trough descending southeastward from British Columbia
   will bring increasing fire weather concerns to portions of the
   Northwestern U.S. and Great Basin early next week. Accelerating
   winds ahead a strong cold front, low daytime relative humidity and
   dry fuels will increase wildfire spread potential across the
   Columbia Basin and Snake River Plain on Day 3/Monday, with overall
   fire weather threat shifting into the Great Basin by Day 4/Tuesday.
   The resulting back door cold front and north-northeast pressure
   gradient could also bring a period of weak offshore flow to the
   coastal ranges of OR Day 4-5/Tuesday-Wednesday, but some lingering
   model uncertainty in wind magnitude precludes introduction of
   critical probabilities at this time. Farther east, wetting rains and
   cooler temperatures associated with the trough and cold front should
   mitigate fire weather concerns across much of Montana Day 4/Tuesday.


   ...Day 6-8/Thursday-Saturday...
   A mid-level low near Baja California along with a general rebuilding
   of the ridge across the Western U.S. could aid in ushering in deeper
   monsoon moisture into portions of the Southwest and Great Basin for
   the latter portion of the week. Considerable ensemble spread in
   moisture plume evolution limits confidence in isolating dry
   thunderstorm threat for now.

   ..Williams.. 07/12/2025
      




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