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U.S. Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 110636

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0136 AM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025

   Valid 111200Z - 121200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   High pressure will increase in amplitude across the western US
   today, with mainly terrain driven breezes expected where fuels are
   the driest. 

   Across portions of western Colorado, a shortwave trough will bring
   isolated dry thunderstorms within a plume of shallow mid-level
   moisture. Fuels within this region are critically dry with ERCs
   exceeding critically dry thresholds, with fuel moisture dipping into
   the single digits amid a severe drought and more than a month
   without appreciable rainfall. New fire activity has been noted over
   the last 24-48 hours with lightning activity. An isolated dry
   thunderstorm area was maintained across this region with this
   outlook.

   ..Thornton.. 07/11/2025
      

U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 110637

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0137 AM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025

   Valid 121200Z - 131200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   ...Synopsis...
   High pressure across the western US will continue to keep winds
   mainly light and terrain driven where fuels are the driest Saturday.
   Moisture will increase across west-central Colorado, with PWs
   approaching 0.60-0.75". A mix of initially dry/wet thunderstorms
   will be possible again, though the dry thunderstorm risk should
   remain too localized to include areas with this outlook.

   ..Thornton.. 07/11/2025


U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 101933

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0233 PM CDT Thu Jul 10 2025

   Valid 121200Z - 181200Z

   Upper ridging will develop across the western CONUS through the
   weekend, before a mid-level trough traverses the Pacific Northwest
   and northern Rockies by early next week. Thereafter, upper ridging
   will briefly set in during the middle of next week before another
   mid-level trough impinges on the Northwest before next weekend. The
   net result will be a warming and drying trend across much of the
   Interior West into the Pacific Northwest, which will augment the
   curing of fuels. 

   The passage of the first mid-level trough will provide enough upper
   support to induce dry/windy conditions across portions of the
   Cascades on Day 4 (Sunday), and then farther east over the Snake
   River Plain Days 5-6 (Monday-Tuesday), where 40 percent Critical
   probabilities have been introduced. Isolated dry thunderstorms could
   occur across portions of the Pacific Northwest into the northern and
   central Rockies early next week, but the specifics of timing and
   coverage (given model differences) are too unclear to warrant dry
   thunderstorm probabilities at this time. Furthermore, considerable
   spread exists among medium-range guidance in the placement and
   timing of the next mid-level trough late next week. Given these
   uncertainties, probabilities for dry/windy conditions and dry
   thunderstorms have been withheld.

   ..Squitieri.. 07/10/2025
      




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