ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 051854

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0154 PM CDT Sat Jul 05 2025

   Valid 061200Z - 071200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   ...Update...
   No changes are required for Saturday's outlook. The forecast remains
   accurate. Please see the previous discussion for more information.

   ..Barnes.. 07/05/2025

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0129 AM CDT Sat Jul 05 2025/

   ...Synopsis...
   A belt of modest flow across will be in place across the northern
   states during the day on Sunday with a weak cutoff low off the coast
   of California and a ridge across much of the southwestern CONUS.
   Some of the mid-level flow around the periphery of the cutoff low
   may mix down to the surface across portions of the Great Basin
   during the afternoon amid low RH. However, given a lack of strong
   flow throughout the column across the region, any Elevated fire
   weather conditions are expected to be localized and transient.
   Therefore, no highlights have been added at this time.

      

   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 052140

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0440 PM CDT Sat Jul 05 2025

   Valid 071200Z - 131200Z

   ...Synopsis...
   As next week arrives, a subtropical ridge is expected to be in place
   over the Southwest and Southern Plains, while quasi-zonal flow
   impacts much of the northern CONUS. A mid to upper-level cyclone off
   the northern CA coast is expected to open and move onshore early Day
   5/Wednesday morning, and then fill as it traverses the northern
   Rockies and phases with a long-wave trough over northwestern Canada.
   The ridge over the Southwest is expected to remain in place through
   the extended period, with modest westerlies crossing the Rockies and
   northern Great Plains.

   ...Day 4/Tuesday...
   Some increase in mid-level flow is still anticipated to accompany
   the aforementioned cyclone from northern CA into the Great Basin.
   Hot and dry conditions under the ridge will precede the approach of
   this feature, likely resulting in even more receptive fuels across
   the region by Day 4/Tuesday. Although there's some disagreement
   within the extended model guidance and ensembles with regards to
   wind speed, confidence remains high enough to continue with low
   critical probabilities across southeastern and eastern NV
   considering a deeply mixed boundary layer will be in place.

   In addition to hot, dry, and windy conditions across the Great
   Basin, a small area of isolated dry thunderstorms appears possible
   near and east of the southern Cascades of OR Day 4/Tuesday. Brief
   mid to upper-level ascent associated with the opening closed low
   should impact this region. However, confidence is not high enough to
   introduce another area of low probabilities for lightning at this
   time.

   ..Barnes.. 07/05/2025