ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 011455
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0955 AM CDT Sun Jun 01 2025
Valid 011700Z - 021200Z
The previous forecast remains on track with no changes required.
Morning observations show RH values already falling into the teens
to low 20s across western NV with further RH reductions expected as
diurnal heating and downslope warming/drying increase through
afternoon. See the previous discussion below for additional details.
..Moore.. 06/01/2025
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1258 AM CDT Sun Jun 01 2025/
...Synopsis...
An upper-level trough will continue to move through the Northwest
with the southern extension of the trough eventually cutting off
west of the northern California coast. Near Baja, the upper cyclone
will begin to lift into the Southwest ahead of the Northwest/Great
Basin trough. A front will stall in the northern Great Basin with a
modest surface low deepening along the boundary.
...Nevada...
Elevated to locally critical fire weather appears possible in
northwest Nevada in the lee of the Sierra. Downslope winds of 15-25
mph will coincide with 10-20% RH during the afternoon. Duration of
the 20+ mph winds (ensemble guidance shows this quite well) is the
main limiting factor for adding a critical area.
Winds in southern Nevada will also increase during the afternoon.
Low-levels will be dry, but moisture/cloud influx driven by the
approaching cyclone will generally limit the duration of fire
weather concerns. Still, locally elevated conditions are possible,
especially along the northern fringe of clouds/moisture.
Scattered convection with at least some embedded thunderstorms are
also possible across much of Nevada. PW values will generally be too
high with southern extent and coverage/fuel receptiveness is
questionable farther north. Dry lightning risk continues to be too
low for highlights.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
CLICK FOR DAY 1 FIREWX AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT (KWNSPFWFD1)