ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 091643
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1143 AM CDT Fri May 09 2025
Valid 091700Z - 101200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
An evolving narrow corridor of isolated showers and thunderstorms
along a cold front will progress through southern Minnesota/northern
Wisconsin through today. Expected PWAT values of 0.8 to 1.0 inch
will support a mix of wet and dry thunderstorm cores through the
afternoon so Isolated Dry Thunderstorm highlights were withheld.
Otherwise, previous forecast (see below) is evolving as expected.
..Williams.. 05/09/2025
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0157 AM CDT Fri May 09 2025/
...Synopsis...
Amplified mid-level flow will continue across the CONUS today as a
broad upper low gradually moves eastward. Western US ridging will
also amplify, forcing stronger flow aloft over the northern US. At
the surface, a cold front will move south across the Northern Plains
and Great Lakes. Relatively mild and wet conditions will prevent
broader fire-weather concerns over much of the country, though a few
drier thunderstorms are possible along the cold front.
...Northern Plains and Great Lakes...
As the cold front progresses southward, isolated thunderstorms are
likely to form along and ahead of it through the heat of the day.
With relatively modest moisture (PWAT values around 0.8 inches)
these storms are expected to be relatively high based. A mixed mode
of wet/occasional dry storms is possible with some lightning risk
over recent dry fuels. While coverage of the drier storms appears
limited, increasingly dry and breezy conditions behind the cold
front could allow for some lightning ignitions and localized
fire-weather concerns.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
CLICK FOR DAY 1 FIREWX AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT (KWNSPFWFD1)