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Northern CA Forecast Discussion
FXUS66 KSTO 302049 AFDSTO

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Sacramento CA
149 PM PDT Sat Aug 30 2025

SYNOPSIS...
Above normal temperatures persist through the holiday weekend with a pattern shift then expected to take hold moving into mid next week. Primarily Moderate HeatRisk expected through Monday, with some areas of Major HeatRisk in the Valley. An approaching weather system will bring increasing thunderstorm chances to the region Tuesday and Wednesday as temperatures trend more seasonable form midweek onward.


.KEY MESSAGES... * Today - Monday: - Above normal temperatures expected with widespread Moderate HeatRisk and areas of Major HeatRisk in the Valley. - Probability of Valley High Temperatures > 100F: 40-70% - Dry weather persists with daytime humidity into the teens to low 20s. * Tuesday - Wednesday: - Weather system tracks northward along the California coast into the middle of the week, bringing a gradual cool down and the return of periodically breezy onshore winds. - Slight (10-20%) chance of isolated thunderstorms as the system moves through. - Some uncertainty in the location of potential thunderstorm development, although highest chances at this time are expected across the mountains. * End of the Week: - Broad troughing aloft expected to remain in place with slight variations in location and orientation. - Seasonable temperatures anticipated across interior NorCal as breezy onshore flow persists. .Changes from previous forecast... - Increasing potential for thunderstorm activity early to mid next week, although moderate uncertainty in the location of potential thunderstorm development at this time. - Warmest temperatures of the next several days now trending toward Sunday and Labor Day for much of the region.






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