Miramar, Florida 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

414
FXUS62 KMFL 121713
AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
113 PM EDT Thu Jun 12 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, BEACHES...

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Friday)
Issued at 111 PM EDT Thu Jun 12 2025

A robust mid-level and upper-level ridge continues to become more
established over the Florida Peninsula with surface high pressure
expanding over the western Atlantic waters to the Florida
Peninsula. At the same time, a wave of Saharan dust is also
approaching from the southeast that is currently over the
Caribbean. The presence of the strong high pressure and
infiltration of the Saharan dust will act to suppress convective
growth going forward into late this afternoon, evening and
overnight through tomorrow via subsidence from the ridge and a
capping inversion created by the Saharan Air Layer. However, there
will still be some shallower showers and perhaps a couple
isolated thunderstorms possible today and tomorrow due to the
development of the sea breezes providing enough forcing for
ascent. Given an increasingly E/SE low level flow under the
expansive ridge, the Atlantic sea breeze will be able to advance
more inland and the Gulf breeze will become more pinned closer to
the Gulf metro areas. Thus, the majority of shallower showers and
storms that do form are expected to develop in the interior and
even more towards the Gulf coast, but no major impacts are
expected other than perhaps some locally heavier downpours due to
the aforementioned high pressure and dust plume inhibiting strong
convection. Additional isolated shower activity is possible along
both coasts each night and early morning due to effects from the
land breezes and coastal convergence.

High temperatures today and tomorrow will primarily be in the low
90s across South Florida with the only exception being the
immediate east coast in the upper 80s. Overnight lows tonight into
Friday morning will tang from the low to mid 70s for the
interior, Lake Okeechobee and Gulf coast regions to the upper 70s
and near 80 for the east coast metro.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 111 PM EDT Thu Jun 12 2025

The large and expansive ridge plus the plume of Saharan Dust is
forecast to remain across the region through the upcoming weekend
before starting to disperse and clear out of the area. With the
occurrence of this in tandem with subsidence resultant from mid-
level ridging aloft, a period of below average rain chances will
return to the region. The dust will result in reduced air quality,
colorful sunrise and sunsets, and hazy skies during the day outside
of any shower or thunderstorm activity. Given the continued lack of
synoptic flow aloft, any shower or thunderstorm activity will focus
across inland areas and southwestern Florida during the afternoon
hours along sea breeze collisions if an updraft is able to break
through the capping inversion created by the Saharan Air Layer.
Temperatures will trend higher during this period, especially across
inland areas that are away from the moderating influences of the
ocean. Deterministic model guidance and NASA`s Dust Aerosol Optical
Thickness show the gradual departure of the saharan dust to the west
of the region during early next week. This may result in an slight
uptick in rain chances, however considering that this remains at the
tail end of the forecast and the robust ridge could hang around into
the middle of next week, we will have to wait and see how trends
continue to evolve.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 111 PM EDT Thu Jun 12 2025

VFR expected to prevail for the 18Z TAF period. SHRA and TS activity
pushes inland this afternoon and away from east coast terminals. APF
is likely to see VCSH/VCTS through this evening and perhaps some
brief restrictions before the activity tapers off. Breezy
southeasterly flow is expected through this evening and could be
gusty at times.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 111 PM EDT Thu Jun 12 2025

Gentle to moderate southeasterly winds expected for the rest of this
week and into the weekend as high pressure sits over the western
Atlantic. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms remain
possible each day, which may result in locally hazardous winds and
seas. Outside of convection, seas over the next several days
generally 2 ft or less.

&&

.BEACHES...
Issued at 111 PM EDT Thu Jun 12 2025

Rip current risks will remain elevated along the Atlantic coast as
onshore winds remain through the week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami            80  89  80  89 /  10  40  20  30
West Kendall     76  90  77  90 /  10  40  20  40
Opa-Locka        80  91  80  91 /  10  40  20  30
Homestead        79  89  79  89 /  20  40  20  30
Fort Lauderdale  80  88  80  88 /  20  40  20  30
N Ft Lauderdale  80  89  80  89 /  10  40  20  30
Pembroke Pines   81  93  82  93 /  10  40  20  30
West Palm Beach  79  89  79  90 /  10  30  10  30
Boca Raton       79  90  79  90 /  10  30  20  30
Naples           75  90  75  90 /  50  60  30  70

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Redman
LONG TERM....Hadi/Redman
AVIATION...Redman