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Rogers, Arkansas 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
NWS Forecast for Rogers AR
National Weather Service Forecast for: Rogers AR
Issued by: National Weather Service Tulsa, OK
Updated: 4:50 am CDT Jun 11, 2025
 
Today

Today: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 4pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 86. South wind around 5 mph.
Partly Sunny
then Slight
Chance
T-storms
Tonight

Tonight: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 7pm, then a chance of showers after 1am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 67. Southeast wind around 5 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Slight Chance
T-storms then
Chance
Showers
Thursday

Thursday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 1pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 78. South wind 5 to 10 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Chance
Showers then
Showers
Likely
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Cloudy, with a low around 67. South wind 5 to 10 mph.
Chance
T-storms

Friday

Friday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm.  Cloudy, with a high near 79. Southwest wind around 10 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Showers
Likely

Friday
Night
Friday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. Southwest wind around 5 mph.
Chance
T-storms

Saturday

Saturday: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Partly sunny, with a high near 85. West wind around 5 mph.
Chance
T-storms

Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. West wind around 5 mph becoming southeast after midnight.
Slight Chance
T-storms

Sunday

Sunday: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Partly sunny, with a high near 86. South wind around 5 mph.
Chance
T-storms

Hi 86 °F Lo 67 °F Hi 78 °F Lo 67 °F Hi 79 °F Lo 68 °F Hi 85 °F Lo 68 °F Hi 86 °F

Hazardous Weather Outlook
 

Today
 
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 4pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 86. South wind around 5 mph.
Tonight
 
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 7pm, then a chance of showers after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 67. Southeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Thursday
 
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 78. South wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday Night
 
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a low around 67. South wind 5 to 10 mph.
Friday
 
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Cloudy, with a high near 79. Southwest wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Friday Night
 
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. Southwest wind around 5 mph.
Saturday
 
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 85. West wind around 5 mph.
Saturday Night
 
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. West wind around 5 mph becoming southeast after midnight.
Sunday
 
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 86. South wind around 5 mph.
Sunday Night
 
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. Southeast wind around 5 mph.
Monday
 
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 89. South wind around 5 mph.
Monday Night
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 70. South wind around 5 mph.
Tuesday
 
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 88. South wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for Rogers AR.

Weather Forecast Discussion
289
FXUS64 KMEG 110945
AFDMEG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
445 AM CDT Wed Jun 11 2025

...New DISCUSSION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 443 AM CDT Wed Jun 11 2025

- Dry conditions will continue today into the first half of
  Thursday, with seasonal high temperatures.

- Scattered showers and thunderstorms will return Thursday
  afternoon, mainly to the south and west of Memphis. Increasing
  humidity will support more widespread showers and thunderstorms
  on Friday and this weekend. At this time, the chances for
  severe thunderstorms is low.

- Hot and humid conditions will likely develop next week, with
  scattered daytime showers and thunderstorms continuing.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(Today through Tuesday)
Issued at 443 AM CDT Wed Jun 11 2025

A typical early summer upper air pattern appears to be settling
in over North America. The northern branch of the upper jet will
remain over the northern tier states the next two days, as a
southern branch cut-off low lifts slowly northeast across the
southern Great Plains. This upper low will continue northeast,
arriving to the Ozarks on Friday. Global models often overestimate
rain coverage in advance of slow-moving cut-off lows. With a
slight delay in low level moisture return and initial shortwave
ridging aloft, best rain chances Thursday afternoon will be to the
south and west of Memphis. Lower to mid 70s dewpoints spread
through all the Midsouth on Friday. With weak upper level
diffluence, Friday will likely bring increased coverage of
showers and thunderstorms.

The remnants of the upper low will stall over the OH and lower MS
River Valleys this weekend. The presence of this trough axis and
PWAT values in excess of 2 inches will support continued showers
and thunderstorm. With weak deep layer shear, coverage will favor
the daytime hours, aided by differential heating and mixed-layer
CAPE of 1000-2000 J/kg. Other that a few microbursts, the severe
potential will remain limited through the weekend.

The weak upper trough over the Midsouth will weaken early next
week, replaced by weak zonal flow. Global models differ on
upstream height falls along the west coast and the resulting
downstream ridging over the central CONUS. In any case, daytime
temperatures will tick up a few degrees over the Midsouth, with
lower 90s probable by the middle of next week. With dewpoints in
the mid 70s, heat indices appear set to reach or exceed 100 in
the early to middle part of next week.

PWB

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1050 PM CDT Tue Jun 10 2025

VFR and light wind tonight, becoming SE tomorrow.

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&

$$

PUBLIC FORECAST...PWB
AVIATION...JDS
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Forecast Discussion from: NOAA-NWS Script developed by: El Dorado Weather






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